Two years ago, the possibility that Iran’s “visible” nuclear infrastructure of being bombed by Israel was such an imminent possibility. If it had not been for the former President of Israel, Shimon Peres, the influence of the “security cabinet” on Netanyahu would have led him to commit this irrationality. Israel-who possess nuclear weapons thanks to the French since the 1960s- attacked the Iraqi nuclear infrastructure in 1981 and the Syrian nuclear project in 2007. However, these nuclear projects were on the ground. Unfortunately, this is not the Iranian case. At least not at all. The bulk of Iran’s infrastructure-and here arises one of the nuclear deal’s main problem-lies underground. As a result, Israel-despite having detailed information of the Iranian nuclear program-fears that the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will not have enough information on Iran’s underground nuclear infrastructure.
The nuclear agreement between the Powers and Iran, states that the Persian country will reduce to only 5,000 its uranium centrifuges and will maintain only two nuclear power plants (Natanz and Fordo). In addition, Iran agreed to reduce its nuclear program by 97%, to sell much of its heavy water and to maintain the uranium purity level by 3.67%. This 15-year agreement gives Iran $150 billion dollars and according to paragraph 36 of the agreement, either party can withdraw from the agreement. In spite of this, I see the latter very difficult to occur. If the United States withdraws from the agreement it will not have access to Iran’s known nuclear infrastructure, it would not have any direct contact with the Iranians and could not monitor Iran’s spending of $150 billion dollars. And if Iran withdraws from the agreement and continues with its threatening rhetoric, it could face very damaging consequences. First-and even though the Iranians learned from Iraq in 1981-the Israelis know the location of this underground infrastructure and bombard them with anti-bunker bombs would only take two hours.
Second, the Iranian economy would fall again. Despite the slowness in providing dollars to the Iranians and that US businessmen-because of the uncertainty generated by this election between Trump and Clinton- are not investing in the country, the agreed money has been delivered as agreed. Third, although Pakistan and Iran have cordial relations, the Pakistani nuclear program was financed by the Saudis and the Americans. So in case Iran crosses the red lines that Israel and the West will establish if Iran comes out of this agreement, the Pakistanis would be forced to “use” their nuclear weapons as a “propaganda” tool to stop Khamenei and its genocidal rhetoric. Since Iran will not abandon its nuclear program, this agreement is vital for the West and the world. If Iran decides to go in the wrong way, they will have to pay a very high price. And Israel, doubtlessly, will be there to defend its territory and the free world.