In the Iranian context, the US-Egypt brokered ceasefire was hailed a resounding diplomatic and military victory for Hamas, despite evidence to the contrary.
After eight days of Israel launching a series of surgical strikes to more than 1,500 targets inside Gaza including Iran-made longer-range weapons that reached as far as Jerusalem and Tel Aviv- the Islamist groups declare that Israel’s acceptance of the truce even on a temporary basis, as a weakness and an Israeli surrender.
The truth is: both Israel and Gaza’s Hamas rulers have compelling reasons to accept the ceasefire – to avoid an all-out regional war consistent with Iran’s military playbook and blatant distraction from its pursuit of nuclear weapons.
Hence, the IDF failure to subsequently deliver a coup de grace against Hamas and Islamic Jihad led Israelis to speculate that something has gone amiss in the quickly ended bloody upsurge of violence.
After all, behind the scenes- an anti-Iran coup went forward masterminded by Israeli, Turkish and Qatari intelligence to abort the military ties Tehran was cultivating with Hamas before the Gaza Strip is grabbed as Iran’s springboard to Cairo.
To this end, wave upon wave of multiple missile assaults on Israel were provoked.
True enough, the coup action was designed as Part One of President Barack Hussein Obama’s overall plan which is to harness the Arab Spring to key US objectives.
Interestingly, the Sudan missile factory preemptive air strike and the targeted killing of pro-Tehran Hamas military wing commander, Ahmed al-Jaabari including the head of the Hamas rocket program, Yahye Rabiya –was a strategic blow to Iran and its proxy Islamist terror organizations in Gaza.
Most importantly, the Iron Dome system in the IDF Pillar of Defense operation in response to incessant rocket attacks against Israel was a stunning success making it unnecessary for Israel to invade Gaza.
So far speculations continue to grow since this move caught many Israeli and Palestinians alike by surprise.
Call it a war of choice, but the IDF degrading Gaza of rocket and missile capability, Israel has almost virtually eliminated the threats emanating south of its border.
That being the case, Israel’s media and diplomatic triumph for the first time superseded Palestinian attempts to portray itself as in the past, as victims of Israeli aggression. And for that reason, the IDF performance was immensely remarkable.
Obviously, the US-IDF deployments show a determined effort and readiness for a military engagement with Iran.
Of course, it was no coincidence that Hamas leaders in Gaza remain allied with Iran- the root cause of all the troubles in the Greater Middle East.
Coupled with international recognition it has gained in unison with its political cousin in Muslim Brotherhood Egypt, Hamas seek to further exploit the Fatah-led Palestinian Authority’s (PA) vulnerability and relevance in the West Bank.
This latest crisis puts pressure on PA President Mahmoud Abbas to bid albeit indirectly for the UN General Assembly Thursday to recognize Palestinian statehood.
Disconcertingly, it was not an official recognition of Palestine as a state per se. But, changing the PA’s UN observer status from “entity” to “non-member observer state” like the Vatican could be seen as largely symbolic and counter-productive to the peace process.
Hopefully, Abu Mazen’s successful bid at the UN will bear some fruit in the near future, but it will not actually prevent Hamas growing influence in Ramallah.
Ideally, for peace to endure, Israeli security must come first and foremost. Therefore, the PA resumption for negotiated settlement without preconditions with the Jewish state would make sense since it cannot be forced by foreign governments much less the UN.
The irony is that UN recognition of a Palestinian state is actually the best chance that remains for Israel to survive as a Jewish state.
Simply put, the road to statehood is between Jerusalem and Ramallah to resolve, not the UN in New York.
On the other hand, Hamas radical stance and non recognition of its archenemy Israel is a nonstarter – to which the moderate PA must vigorously overcome for a two state solution to become a reality.
If history is any guide, the 2005 dismantlement of Jewish settlements and IDF troop withdrawal from Gaza Strip was a terrible mistake when Israel yielded to US pressure. Since then, the Fatah-led PA’s humiliation in Gaza also contributed to the worsening relations between Israel and Egypt.
Adding insult to injury, the Palestinian president even made a humiliating call Thursday to Gaza’s Hamas premier Ismail Haniya to congratulate him “on his victory and offer condolences for the martyrs.”
Indeed, the absence of negotiated settlement and decades long unyielding hostility between Palestinians and Jews, made it far from certain that conflict would end in a bitter irony.
Yet rarely is there any consideration for the consequences and the fact that whatever happened to Hamas in Gaza could serve as a sober warning to Tehran and its proxies.
For now, Israel needs to further dismantle the infrastructure of terror and weapons smuggling across Egypt’s borders in the Sinai. In like manner, it might as well curtail Iranian attempts to make the West Bank its next weapons dumping ground.
The logic behind the Gaza ceasefire is a ruse since there is no way that Hamas as a movement which glorifies in martyrdom, victimhood and destroying the Jewish state cannot just simply be trusted.
Until now, the fragile truce still holds but unfortunately it was meant only to buy time and destined to fail once Hamas get a chance to circumvent it.
Much will depend on how the ceasefire agreement is enforced between Israel, Egypt and Hamas and perhaps with US backing by stationing US troops in the Sinai bordering Egypt and Gaza.
In fact this is the reason why Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu acceded to US pressure to accept the ceasefire.
Another one reason for accepting the truce, however reluctantly, is that Israeli citizens living in the south of their country deserve some peace and quiet. Only time can tell.
Like it or not, Israel may have to set its sights next to Hezbollah in Lebanon after all. Hopefully, the US and NATO can take care of Syria and then, Iran. Of course, it is just a matter of time.