As soon as the new “Open Skies” agreement between Israel and the EU was announced, the three Israeli airlines came out fighting, tooth and nail. In a rare display of solidarity, both senior management and unions have closed ranks in vocal opposition, and the doomsday weapon of a strike has been quickly and easily unsheathed. The Israeli public watch in trepidation, anticipating not only short term disruptions of travel plans, but also hearing the dire predictions of the demise of Israeli civil commercial aviation as we know it, from no less than the most senior leaders of the industry.

As it stands – we all should be very concerned – right?

A closer inspection of the facts is revealing, and conclusions do not necessarily align to the nightmare scenario being projected to us today by the Israeli Airline Industry.

The Israeli airlines have not stated clearly what exactly in the agreements they oppose or what changes they seek. In effect, they would prefer the agreement to be cancelled outright. By doing so, they request that the status quo be preserved, a status quo that is almost unknown in modern commercial air travel. They demand that their market share be coddled and shielded by government regulation, and not by way of the merits and advantages that they offer to the travelling public. They demand that their comfort zone be preserved, allowing them to continue on as before.

The fact is that without deep and perhaps revolutionary reform within the companies, they will indeed, not be able to survive the anticipated changes brought upon by the agreement.

El Al in particular is a deeply conservative institution. Despite being privatized from 2003, the company still functions similar to a government company of 1970’s Israel, with the associated Histadrut influence and characteristics. In particular, the company suffers from a bloated and inefficient labor force and management practices, similar to airlines such as Alitalia and Iberia.

The CEO of the company is almost always an ex-Air Force General, such as the current CEO, Eliezer Shkedi. The only exception in recent decades was Shkedi’s predecessor, Haim Romano. These generals have no prior commercial management experience, so it may be assumed that the airline is managed with a heavy military style and influence. No CEO has actually grown and come up through the company ranks.

These facts provide only a backdrop to the company ills. El Al today functions under an archaic strategy, one that was commonplace in commercial aviation from the 1950’s and up to the 1980’s. In those days, national carriers transported passengers to and from the mother country. The entire market in which El Al competes, comprises of flights to and from Israel alone. El Al claims a market share of roughly 25-30% of this traffic.

For El Al to earn a profit on a given flight, it needs to fill over 80% of the seats (known as the load factor). By comparison, Emirates Airlines of the UAE is profitable with a load factor around 70%.

El Al tells us that they have unique constrictions, not suffered by their competitors, such as not flying on Shabbat and 50% higher security costs which are approximately $50 million a year and Arab countries that they cannot fly over.

Part of the solution is to compete in a market that is hundreds if not thousands of percent larger than that of flights to and from Israel. That means moving to a “Hub” model, whereby Tel Aviv becomes a transit point for the majority of customers, instead of a final destination.

El Al would sell tickets to people who seek to travel between Europe and the Far East, for example, a flight from London to Bangkok, or Paris to Beijing. Tel Aviv would be a stopover for two or three hours. Those who wish to rest, would then be able to stay for 24 or 48 hours to get a glimpse of the cultural, spiritual and historical fruits that this country has to offer the world.

Airlines around the world use this model. El Al does not.

As of at least 2011, El Al did not offer a single ticket with such a route at a remotely competitive price.

El Al, Arkia and Israir need not view each other as bitter competitors, as is the case today. They can cooperate, selling joint tickets – for example. Arkia would carry a passenger from Stuttgart to Tel Aviv, from where he or she would continue with El Al to Mumbai. In this way, fleets would, to an extent be pooled, and all three companies would benefit.

There are airlines in the region that have already adopted this Hub model and are absolutely flourishing:

Turkish Airlines has a fleet of 212 and 284 more aircraft on order or options.

Ethiopian Airlines has a fleet of 59 with 35 new aircraft on order or options.

Emirates has a fleet of 186 with 263 aircraft on order or options.

Qatar Airways has a fleet of 122 with 208 aircraft on order or options.

The size of El Al’s current market is limited – there are only a given number of people flying to and from Israel. The answer is clearly to compete for a much larger market. Such a change would not only lead to company expansion, it would also render the threat of Haredi boycott irrelevant once these had become a tiny portion of the customer base, allowing El AL to fly seven days a week.

Israel is well-placed geographically to function as a hub for flights between Africa, Europe and Asia, despite the Arab denial of overflying rights. What many don’t seem to grasp is that airlines in the world today don’t just sell a transport solution from point A to point B.

Airlines sell a travel experience, involving state of the art In-Flight Entertainment Systems, comfortable seats and legroom, new aircraft, internet connectivity, good food, excellent cabin service as well as safety. El Al only really excels in the last and is notorious in the former. Vast improvements in all of these can be made, the solutions exist. Should all these parameters be met, passengers will want to fly with El Al, despite the addition of three hours to the flight due to the unfriendly Saudis.

Today the cabin crew is exclusively Israeli. Should flight attendants of other countries be hired, from China and Thailand for example, the improvement will be dramatic, especially for foreign travelers. Should young people from Europe’s Jewish communities be hired as cabin staff, not only will service be more varied and colorful, but a Zionist goal of aliyah will undoubtedly be served too, with some ultimately settling in Israel.

Let us make a cursory examination of El Al’s fleet: There are some 37 aircraft in service with eight orders and options published. Over half of the aircraft are 15 years old or more. The fleet includes 13 aircraft that are considered highly fuel inefficient and expensive to run by today’s standards (767-300 and 747-400) and are being replaced by all El Al’s competitors who operate such aircraft.

Should El Al decide to order the new and desperately needed 787 (Or A350) tomorrow, it will take some five years to get the aircraft, as El Al hasn’t even yet joined the back of the queue. There is no published long-term fleet renewal plan, and it is unclear by what process new aircraft are ordered.

For a modern airline to succeed in trading in its marketplace, it needs a seamless IT infrastructure through which various company departments can communicate with each other. Much trade goes on between different airlines, and El Al must be able to manage its reservations system while it can interface with the systems of other airlines as well.

A very large portion of tickets are sold via the internet through all sorts of websites, such as Edreams and Skyscanner, and these must be exploited by the company.

Professor Judy Gittel of Brandeis University made a study of the cultural and management organization of SouthWest Airlines. This airline has been profitable for a remarkable 39 years straight in the super-tough US Airline market. Perhaps the central pillar of their success is the organizational culture and management style that places an emphasis on excellent relations between everyone from the CEO to the last person that cleans the aircraft. Professor Gittel identified some twelve principles that comprise the success of the airline. It is the workers who to a very large extent bring profitability and efficiency to an organization, and such is the case at SouthWest.

A study of this airline can only benefit an airline like El Al, which is managed by a blend of military and Histadrut type culture.

The airline has an inflated workforce that needs to be trimmed. This is always a sensitive, if not inflammable issue. European business jet airline Netjets, which operates over 1000 aircraft needed to reduce the workforce in 2009 and set about doing so without any involuntary layoffs.

Five different options were offered to the workforce, each one involving different formulas of extended leave without pay, job sharing, university studies and several other creative solutions. The common denominator between them was a win-win situation between company and employee. Netjets succeeded in the reduction of workers, and not one was fired.

Today the three Israeli airlines fear change and they fight to preserve their fleshpot as it is. It is unfortunate that the management and unions are not more imaginative and creative. They need to heed Benjamin Franklin who said “Instead of cursing the darkness, light a candle.”

As the cliché goes – “change brings opportunity,” and if done correctly, Israeli civil aviation could be at the threshold of a new golden age.