Erfan Fard

Nuclear Brinkmanship: Urgent Call for Bold Action

A Shia mullah looks at domestically built surface to surface missiles displayed by the IRGC in a military show at Khomeini Mosque in Tehran, Iran, February 3, 2019/ (Times Of Israel)

Despite UN pressure, Iran’s regime persists in high-level uranium enrichment, with IAEA chief Rafael Grossi noting potential plans by Tehran to reveal a nuclear bomb before spring, escalating global tensions and concerns over its nuclear ambitions.

For the Unfinished Symphony of Nuclear Brinkmanship, Resolute Action is Imperative.

In the shadow of diplomatic niceties, a question looms large with potentially cataclysmic implications: What if the Iranian regime were to declare the successful completion of its nuclear arsenal? This is not a speculative exercise but a pressing concern that demands an unflinching evaluation of the West’s current strategy—or the apparent lack thereof—towards Tehran’s nuclear ambitions.

Currently, it seems as though the White House is treading water, avoiding direct confrontation with Tehran’s defiance. Intelligence agencies like the CIA and Mossad might well be privy to the inner workings of Iran’s nuclear facilities. They could be assessing, with bated breath, the timeline for the culmination of Iran’s nuclear armament. If the bomb is indeed ready, and the regime is merely seeking the right moment for its dramatic unveiling, then it’s imperative to question the inertia at play within the corridors of power in Washington and Tel Aviv. What does one do about a regime that not only harbors ambitions of nuclear armament but also actively supports a network of 21 terrorist groups?

The passive stance, characterized by a watch-and-wait approach, is proving to be not just ineffective but dangerous. Joe Biden‘s administration, by failing to decisively shift the narrative, has inadvertently emboldened Tehran, allowing it to persist in its aggressive posture. The message being relayed is one of weakness, a stark contrast to the previous administration’s attempts, however flawed, to broker a more meaningful detente.

The reluctance to engage seriously with the threat posed by Iran’s nuclear ambition and its sponsorship of terrorism across the Middle East is a strategic misstep of grave proportions. This hesitancy not only undermines the credibility of the U.S. and its allies but also leaves Israel in a precarious position, potentially isolated in its considerations of preemptive strikes on Iran’s military installations.

As the Iranian regime busies itself with electoral theatrics, ensuring the selection of pre-approved candidates for its Assembly, the broader Middle East remains a tinderbox. Israel’s ongoing battle against Islamic terrorism, coupled with sporadic engagements by CENTCOM against Houthi terrorists, underscores a volatile regional dynamic that Iran seeks to exploit. Amidst this chaos, Tehran’s focus on advancing its nuclear program and its rhetoric of destruction go unchallenged.

The path to securing peace and stability in the Middle East is fraught with complexity. Yet, one principle remains clear: The regime in Tehran responds only to the language of strength and resolve. The international community, led by the U.S. and its allies, must coalesce around a strategy that goes beyond mere containment. Supporting regime change or, at the very least, presenting a credible threat of military intervention if Iran crosses the nuclear threshold, appears to be the only viable course of action to avert disaster.

As we stand at the crossroads of history, the choices we make—or fail to make—will define the future of the Middle East and, by extension, global security. The clock is ticking, and the time for decisive action is now. The saga of Iran’s nuclear ambitions is not just a regional concern but a litmus test for the international order’s resolve in confronting the specters of nuclear proliferation and state-sponsored terrorism.

No mullah is innocent, and a good mullah is a dead one. For 14 centuries, Iranian literature, poetry, and culture have recounted thousands of verses and stories about the deceit, crime, and corruption of this dark and criminal group. Perhaps the world has not yet made enough effort to truly understand the mullahs after 45 years.  The Terrorist Loving Mullahs have a history marked only by the creation of crime and betrayal.

The IAEA’s report on Iran’s accelerated enrichment of uranium to nearly weapons-grade levels, enough for three nuclear bombs, underscores a critical global threat that should alarm international leaders, highlighting the urgent need for a unified and decisive response to mitigate the risk of nuclear proliferation and ensure world safety.

The international community’s approach to an outlaw regime that supports terrorism, engages in missile launches, and possesses Nuclear Bomb involves a complex mix of economic sanctions and, potentially, military deterrence strategies. The goal is to prevent escalation, ensure regional stability, and deter the use of nuclear weapons, to limit nuclear proliferation and reduce tensions.

Ali Khamenei, in brown robe with Iranian military leaders, has praised terrorists of Hamas for its cross-border attack on Israel. /ZUMA PRESS – Free for all platforms
About the Author
Erfan Fard is a counter-terrorism analyst and Middle East Studies researcher based in Washington, DC. He is in Middle Eastern regional security affairs with a particular focus on Iran, Counter terrorism, IRGC, MOIS and Ethnic conflicts in MENA. \He graduated in International Security Studies (London M. University, UK), and in International Relations (CSU-LA), and is fluent in Persian, Kurdish, Arabic and English. Follow him in this twitter account @EQFARD
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