Oasis 1: A Bold Vision to Save Israel and Gaza
In December 2023, seven weeks after the October 7 massacre claimed some 1,200 lives and left Israel’s spirit in shards, I arrived with a plan that felt equal parts desperate and defiant—Oasis 1: Towards a New Vision of Gaza, the West Bank, and Beyond. Over the past 16 months, I’ve sent more than 500 letters to the Knesset, IDF leadership, and university scholars, outlining a $16-$23 billion kibbutz in the Negev, split evenly between Jews and Arabs, as a way to sidestep a collapse I see looming by 2045.
The idea is audacious: vet Gazans, house them temporarily in the Negev during the conflict, send most back to Gaza when peace settles, and invite some to stay as residents on a kibbutz and perhaps one day be a citizen or parents of citizens.
I expected a fierce debate — Jews argue with the passion of a birthright — yet I’ve heard nothing, not a single response. Would somebody please give a hoot?
Oasis 1 is where my soul meets my statistics—a kibbutz near Nitzana that begins with 6,000 to 15,000 residents, half Jews and half Arabs (Bedouin alongside vetted Gazans), and grows to 500,000 once the conflict fades. With a $16-$23 billion investment in housing, irrigation systems threading through the dunes, and schools alive with Hebrew and Arabic voices, it promises $165 billion in trade and 500,000 jobs, according to my March 10 brief.
Without unity, Israel faces a 65-80% chance of collapse by 2045, a risk I detailed in my March 15 brief, compounded by poverty that grips 60% of our 250,000 Bedouin and the 8,000-plus rockets that have scarred us since 2001 (March 13). The solution lies in vetting 1.7 million Gazans and exiling 192,500 to 340,000 Hamas loyalists (March 9, 20), which turns our fortunes around in three critical ways. First, security improves dramatically, with terror dropping 90-95% and saving 40,000 to 80,000 lives by 2045—15,000 to 30,000 from conflict, another 20,000 to 40,000 from better health outcomes (March 17), as temporary housing isolates threats and permanent residents sap radicalism’s strength. Second, the economy surges, with $165 billion in trade and 500,000 jobs lifting GDP from $488 billion to $650 and $800 billion (March 7, 10), as Gazans fuel growth and ease Bedouin poverty. Third, stability takes root, thanks to Unit 8200’s ability to vet 10,000 Gazans per hour (March 18), ensuring we hold the reins, not Hamas’s chaos machine. Picture a Negev market where Jewish vintners barter with Gazan olive farmers, their kids swapping snacks in two languages—the truth is funny in its boldness, scary in its necessity.
Zionism hinges on a Jewish majority, yet by 2075-2080, Arabs could reach 50% of the population (March 16), a demographic cliff we can avoid by integrating vetted Gazans, some as citizens. By 2045, this could yield 490,000 to 980,000 new Jews, as Gazans convert and swell Zionist ranks by 650,000 to 1.2 million (March 16, 18), pushing the Jewish population to 11.27-11.76 million and securing a 77-79% majority (March 20), with their 38,125 to 76,250 children locking in the future (March 16). Shared ancestry—50-90%, per Haber’s 2020 research—paired with halachic kiruv from Genesis 12:5, turns inclusion into growth (March 16), and those Gazan citizens’ kids become living proof of our resilience. Most crucially, we decide who enters our fold—not Hamas—proving Zionism’s strength isn’t retreat but resolve (March 18), a moral victory that’s as funny in its paradox as it is scary in its stakes.
I’ve sent detailed briefs—collapse risks, trade forecasts—anticipating a robust debate, but after 16 months, the Knesset, IDF, and universities have offered nothing but silence. Israel dazzles with desert tech and Tel Aviv’s startup buzz, yet unity remains elusive, a ghost in a nation divided between left and right, Jew and Arab. The scars of October 7 linger, and endless war drains our collective will, while the world fixates on our shrapnel, not our s’mores-soaked past. When survival’s on the line—60% Bedouin poverty, 8,000-plus rockets—silence feels less like exhaustion and more like surrender.
This isn’t about scoring points in a debate; it’s about ensuring we live to see another generation. Poverty and rockets aren’t abstract threats—they’re absolute, relentless, and growing, with my data warning of a 65-80% collapse risk by 2045 and demographic parity by 2075-2080 (March 15, 16). Oasis 1 dangles $165 billion in trade and 500,000 jobs as a lifeline, yet no one seems to care—are we too weary, too fractured, to grab it? The truth is funny and terrifying: we’re ignoring salvation because it’s easier to squabble than act.
From April 23 to May 6, 2025, I’ll return to Israel, seeking kibbutz leaders and policymakers ready to listen and build. Oasis 1—$16-$23 billion, half Jews, half Arabs, vetted Gazans housed and some embraced as citizens—offers a vision where Jewish and Arab kids roast s’mores in the Negev, not dodge rockets in the dark. Do we want to win or just survive? Silence won’t answer that—I’m howling for us to choose action over apathy.