Shimon Apisdorf

Obama, Iran, and Occam

President Barack Obama is the most powerful, and potentially, the most dangerous man on the planet.

Over the last forty years, the United States has had three major, reliable allies in the Middle East: Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Israel.

Today, each of those allies is convinced that the president of the United States couldn’t care less about their most fundamental interests. They are convinced that the most powerful man in the world is using his power to undermine their vital interests, perhaps even their very existence, and in the process endangering millions of lives in the Middle East and beyond. They are convinced that the leader of the free world is now more dangerous than the leaders of North Korea and Iran.

The question is: How in the world does one explain this topsy-turvy nightmare scenario?
The principle known as Occam’s razor says that when there is more than one way to explain a phenomenon, and both explanations could be correct, one should choose, and be guided by, the simplest explanation. So let’s look at ways to explain why Obama has jettisoned the concerns and interests of important American allies. Then, you will be invited to vote for the explanation that you think makes the most sense.

There are three explanations for the reality Obama has created.

One.               Obama knows best. In other words, those allies that live in the same neighborhood as Iran, simply don’t possess the intelligence, objectivity, and vision to grasp what Obama grasps. So, the President is actually doing his friends a favor and saving them from themselves.
Two.                Obama is wrong. In other words, Barack Obama  made a terrible mistake in judgment, and he can’t admit his mistake. Why can’t he? Is it ego and pride? Legacy and a place in history? A skeleton in his closet? Take your pick. But whatever the cause, the result if the same: The allies are right, Obama is wrong, and he just can’t bring himself to admit his mistake.
Three:            Obama is nefarious. In other words, the Harvard graduate president knows exactly what he’s doing, and the consequences that leaders in Cairo, Riyadh, Jerusalem, and Amman fear, are the very goals that Obama is consciously pursuing. Thus, the most powerful man in the world is not only the most dangerous, but the most sinister as well.

Now, which do you think is the simplest, and therefore most logical and likely explanation? Let’s review, and then you can cast your vote:
1)         Obama knows best. Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Israel, and Jordan are wrong, and soon, thanks to Obama, the Middle East, and the world, will be a much better and safer place.
2)         Obama is wrong. Every US ally in the Middle East is right, Obama is wrong, and though he means well, for some emotional-psychological reason, he just can’t admit his mistake. And the world will pay the price.
3)         Obama is nefarious. The goal of the President of the United States is to enable the Islamic Republic of Iran to become the dominant power in the Middle East, even if that means acquiring nuclear weapons. Meaning, the greatest fears of his allies are actually the Presidents objectives.

So, all you Occam fans out there, it’s time to vote:

What do you think is the best explanation?

Will it be door number one? Door number two? Or door number three?

(Please share this article with your friends, ask them to vote, and let me know what the results are. You can record your results in the comments section to this piece, or email me at

About the Author
Shimon Apisdorf is the founder of Operation Home Again, the first organization solely devoted to community-based Aliyah. He has also authored ten books that have sold over a quarter million copies and have won two Benjamin Franklin awards. The Apisdorf's made Aliyah in the summer of 2012.
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