Moshe-Mordechai van Zuiden
Psychology, Medicine, Science, Politics, Oppression, Integrity, Philosophy, Jews

Test COVID-19 vaccines now outside the West

We all have a brain. Why not use it?

The large COVID-19 vaccine tests set up in the UK are failing because the epidemic is slowing down. That is because you can’t test the effectiveness of a vaccine when the infection has stopped. Much like you can’t test a raincoat on a dry day. One needs a raging epidemic to test a vaccine. The epidemic may gain strengths again in a second wave from lack of caution or (say many, but I don’t know why because it’s not the flue:) in winter. That means that it may take half a year or longer before we’ll know if we have a working and safe vaccine, before we’ll know what doses different ages need, and before it could protect the world’s population.

Any six-year-old understands that you thus need to test the vaccine in countries where the epidemic just started or refuses to be tamed.

Not in many European countries where the epidemic is over (for now).

Not in Sweden or Belarus, which have unabated numbers of daily death, because suddenly, politicians may go for lock-down and stop the slaughter.

Not in countries like Iran, Turkey, and Russia, where truth is taken as an attack on the regime and the official count is reduced or totally made-up.

Not in countries like Bahrain and Kazakhstan, where the relation between the numbers of infected and deceased don’t reflect COVID-19.

Not in countries where there is a civil, guerilla, or international war because then it will be hard to conduct a health experiment.

Not in countries where the epidemic never really had a chance because of good prevention, like Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, New Zealand, Australia, Israel, Austria, Iceland.

And not in countries that still are problematic though the worst may have passed (for now; but many escape isolation too early), like the VS.

It must be tested, this week to begin still, in countries like: India, Chile, Indonesia, South Africa, Egypt, Argentina, etc. Plenty of choices!

There’s no time to lose. In 4-6 weeks, we’d know: Is there a vaccine?

And now we’re at it, why must the placebo group be as large as the other? Why can’t 67% or 75% get the real vaccine in a large double-blind trial? It isn’t that hard to multiply the results of the control groups by 2 or 3. Why?

When more people get the real stuff, we have a greater chance to find rare side-effects. Also, a large study is only done with stuff that seems safe. So, splitting the group in half, you withhold half of the participants from what you hope will be something beneficial. Instead of a third or a quarter.

My source of information is here. NB: The numbers may have been kept low by insufficient testing of the sick, political scheming, excluding home deaths. The mortality may be kept high by: not testing people feeling fine.

Disclaimer: I do not claim that all my characterizations of each country are undisputable or that any list of certain countries is comprehensive.

In an update, I removed Mexico from the list of countries that would be fit for holding such trials at a news report that it seriously underreports.

About the Author
MM is a prolific and creative writer and thinker, a daily blog contributor to the TOI. He is a fetal survivor of the pharmaceutical industry (https://diethylstilbestrol.co.uk/studies/des-and-psychological-health/), born in 1953 to two Dutch survivors who met in the largest concentration camp in the Netherlands, Westerbork, and holds a BA in medicine (University of Amsterdam). He taught Re-evaluation Co-counseling, became a social activist, became religious, made Aliyah, and raised three wonderful kids. He wrote an unpublished tome about Jewish Free Will. He's a strict vegan since 2008. He's an Orthodox Jew but not a rabbi. * His most influential teachers (chronologically) are: his parents, Nico (natan) van Zuiden and Betty (beisye) Nieweg, Wim Kan, Mozart, Harvey Jackins, Marshal Rosenberg, Reb Shlomo Carlebach, and, lehavdil bein chayim lechayim: Rabbi Dr. Natan Lopes Cardozo, Rav Zev Leff, and Rav Meir Lubin. * Previously, for decades, he was known to the Jerusalem Post readers as a frequent letter writer. For a couple of years, he wrote hasbara for the Dutch public. His fields of attention now are varied: Psychology (including Sexuality and Abuse), Medicine (including physical immortality), Science (statistics), Politics (Israel, the US and the Netherlands, Activism - more than leftwing or rightwing, he hopes to highlight Truth), Oppression and Liberation (intersectionally, for young people, the elderly, non-Whites, women, workers, Jews, LGBTQIA, foreigners and anyone else who's dehumanized or exploited), Integrity, Philosophy, Jews (Judaism, Zionism, Holocaust and Jewish Liberation), Ecology and Veganism. Sometimes he's misunderstood because he has such a wide vision that never fits any specialist's box. But that's exactly what many love about him. Many of his posts relate to affairs from the news or the Torah Portion of the Week or are new insights that suddenly befell him. * He hopes that his words will inspire and inform, reassure the doubters but make the self-assured doubt more. He strives to bring a fresh perspective rather than bore you with the obvious. He doesn't expect his readers to agree. Rather, original minds must be disputed. In short, his main political positions are: anti-Trumpism, for Zionism, Intersectionality, non-violence, democracy, anti the fake peace process, for original-Orthodoxy, Science, Free Will, anti blaming-the-victim and for down-to-earth optimism. Read his blog how he attempts to bridge any discrepancies. He admits sometimes exaggerating to make a point, which could have him come across as nasty, while in actuality, he's quite a lovely person to interact with. He holds - how Dutch - that a strong opinion doesn't imply intolerance of other views. * His writing has been made possible by an allowance for second-generation Holocaust survivors from the Netherlands. It has been his dream since he was 38 to try to make a difference by teaching through writing. He had three times 9-out-of-10 for Dutch at his high school finals but is spending his days communicating in English and Hebrew - how ironic. G-d must have a fine sense of humor. In case you wonder - yes, he is a bit dyslectic. November 13, 2018, he published his 500th blog post with the ToI. If you're a native English speaker and wonder why you should read from people whose English is only their second language, consider the advantage of having a peek outside of your cultural bubble. * NEW: To see other blog posts by him, his overspill blog you can reach by clicking on the Website icon next to his picture at the head of every post. There you may find precursors to later TOI blog posts, addition or corrections of published TOI blog posts, blog posts the TOI will not carry, and some thoughts that are too short to be a TOI blog post. Also, the TOI only allows for one blog post per blogger per 24 hours. Sometimes, he has more to say than that. * To send any personal reaction to him, scroll to the top of the blog post and click Contact Me.
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