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Ira Straus

The road to Gaza is through Iran

It will actually be easier to topple the regime in Iran than to destroy Hamas all by itself.

It’s also more important for America, because it is the only way to completely get rid of the danger of a nuclear Iran, not just postpone it a bit longer.

And it’s the step indicated by the logic of the Trump administration’s initiatives, now that Iran has rejected its overtures for negotiations.

Why toppling the Iranian regime is the easy way to solve the Hamas problem

The Iranian people overwhelmingly want the Ayatollah’s regime to go. Paradoxical though it sounds at first sight, there will be less resistance in Iran than in Gaza to completely getting rid of the Islamist power structure. And there will be more popular help for carrying it through.

Moreover, the Iranian people want, by a supermajority, to replace the Islamists with a pro-American, pro-Israeli regime. They like America more than any Arab public does. This is confirmed not only by the flags they have courageously displayed at their mass demonstrations but by a very skillful opinion survey that the opposition found ways to conduct despite the tyranny there.

All we have to do is topple the Ayatollah and smash a few of his main terrorist props, and the society will find its own way to something much better. We won’t have to create a new regime of our choosing, much less impose it on a resistant society. We will have none of the difficult experience that we had in Iraq and other countries, where the people weren’t nearly as pro-Western as in Iran.

That is why road to peace in Gaza is through Iran.

With Islamist Iran gone, good things will happen all around the region

Here are a few of the likely regional outcomes:

All the Sunni Arab states will see the West as the wave of the future and get closer to us.

Hamas will lose its main backer – and lose hope. It will splinter and crumble. And release most of the hostages without further ado. A decent plan for rebuilding Gaza could finally work, without our intervening or getting bogged down.

Hezbollah collapses without Iranian support, or splits up. Lebanon is finally able to put itself together as a solid friendly country.

The large pro-Western forces in Turkey get a new lease on life and could soon come back to power.

The new Syrian regime has to look to the West instead of to Russia and Turkey.

Saudi Arabia no longer needs to get nuclear weapons against Iran.

And Russian influence in the region is marginalized. Russia will have to ask for our help if it wants back in. We’ll hold all the cards.

America’s choice — Trump’s choice

At this point, the choice is in America’s hands. It’s an easy choice to make, and a darned good one. It’s the next step in the logic of all the Trump administration recent efforts.

Let’s hope the administration follows through quickly on its logic, and doesn’t let itself get diverted by the usual batch of fudgemakers.

About the Author
Chair, Center for War/Peace Studies; Senior Adviser, Atlantic Council of the U.S.; formerly a Fulbright professor of international relations; studied at Princeton, UVA, Oxford. Institutions named above for identification purposes only; views expressed herein are solely the responsibility of the author.
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