The moment I read the statement of the UAE Minister of Foreign Affairs to the effect that the peace treaty will now make it easy for the Emirate to buy the F-35 planes which it has been long seeking to purchase and was consistently rebuffed by the US, I started to doubt the viability of the proposed treaty.
The doubt was and remains grounded on two points, namely,
First, I could not believe that both for political and national security reasons, Israel would ever consent to the sale of the F-35s to the Emirate, and
Second, it is absurd to expect the proud King and the Crown Prince to proceed to the signing of a peace treaty with the prospective peace partner when the first thing the partner does is to slap their faces by their longstanding persistent interest in purchasing the F-35s.
In the circumstances, it is hardly surprising that the Emirate promptly cancelled indefinitely the tripartite celebratory meeting that was to be held in New York.
Personally, I very much doubt that the UAE will seek a face saving formula or accept one proposed by Israel and/or the United States that would not include a firm agreement for the U.S. to sell them some F-35s.
In all of this, what also struck me is that none of the political commentators in the know who rushed to praise and celebrate the prospect of having a game-changing new dream team in the region did not think about this problem.
With the UAE looking like having been suckered into negotiating this peace treaty and losing face before the other Arab countries; I very much doubt that the Emirate will sign the treaty.
In the circumstances, I very much doubt that any other Arab country whether in the Gulf or elsewhere,will seriously entertain the notion of making peace with Israel for the foreseeable future.
President Trump invested a great deal of his prestige to make this treaty happen and I very much doubt that he will take kindly to Israel’s opposition to the sale of the F-35s.
In the circumstances, I very much fear that Prime Minister Netanyahu will find himself in President Trump’s dog house.