Dan Sagir, at The Blogs

Dan Sagir

Jun 8, 2026, 11:33 PM

Israel needs a deal with Iran, not another war

A man looks at the wreckage of an Iranian missile that landed near the West Bank city of Jericho, June 8, 2026. (AP Photo/Mahmoud Illean)

After years of escalation, military gains have reached their limits. A US-Iran agreement can freeze Tehran's nuclear program and open the door to disarming Hezbollah

Mar 7, 2026, 2:03 PM

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Another long war would be a strategic gift to Iran

US President Donald Trump (R) and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu shake hands as they arrive to speak to journalists during a joint press conference at Trump's Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm Beach, Florida, on December 29, 2025. (Jim Watson / AFP)

Israel may be winning tactically, but a prolonged campaign risks eroding US support while leaving Tehran a nuclear threshold state

Jun 11, 2024, 12:14 PM

National crisis with a broken political system

Lawmakers at the swearing-in of the 25th Knesset, November 15, 2022. (Noam Moskowitz/Knesset Spokesperson)

The State of Israel is currently experiencing an unprecedented crisis since its establishment. In medical terms, it would be described as suffering from multi-system failure: a military conflict on multiple fronts without a clear exit strategy; an internal political...

Apr 3, 2024, 12:07 PM

Hollow leadership

Since its establishment, Israel faced a long series of challenging security and political crises, and managed to overcome them. The internal resilience of Israeli citizens throughout the generations and their belief in the righteousness of the Zionist endeavor enabled...

Feb 16, 2024, 12:15 AM

The Betrayal of the State

Israeli women demand the immediate release of the Israeli hostages held in the Gaza Strip by the Hamas militant group at a protest in Tel Aviv, February 1, 2024. (AP Photo/Oded Balilty)

Israel's undeclared decision to continue the war in Gaza, even at the expense of the abductees’ lives, will be documented as one of the darkest moments in the country's history. According to recent reports, at the moment the number...

Dec 26, 2023, 1:03 AM

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The dangerous quest for a ‘victory shot’

Then-defense minister Moshe Dayan visits the Sinai Peninsula during the Yom Kippur War, on October 20, 1973. (Bamahane/ Defense Ministry Archive)

After the Oct. 7 defeat, an iconic military finale can be tempting. Israeli history shows how very wrong that plan can go

Dec 7, 2023, 8:57 PM

Henry Kissinger and Israel’s nuclear posture

Presidential adviser Henry Kissinger briefs newsman on the upcoming state visit of Soviet Communist Party Chief Leonid Brezhnev in Washington, Thursday, June 14, 1973. (AP Photo/Bob Daugherty)

It was Kissinger's recommendation to President Nixon that led to the United States de facto recognizing Israel's nuclear status

Nov 19, 2023, 10:49 PM

Israel’s new ‘red lines’ of deterrence for Iran

This handout picture provided by the office of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei shows him (C) speaking during a visit at the IRGC aerospace achievement exhibition in Tehran on November 19, 2023. (Photo by khamenei.ir / AFP)

Israel must make clear that it will treat any attack, including by Tehran's proxy groups, as a direct attack by the Islamic Republic

Oct 31, 2023, 10:10 PM

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Deterrence is no substitute for policy

Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat meets with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at Erez Crossing on the Gazan border on January 15, 1997, to finalize and sign the Hebron agreement (Avi Ochayon/ GPO)

Israel should use its military capabilities to promote diplomatic agreements with its neighbors, rather than preserve the status quo of regular conflict

Aug 11, 2023, 11:54 AM

A story of restraint: The Yom Kippur War and Israel’s nuclear capability

Prime minister Golda Meir and defense minister Moshe Dayan meeting with troops on the Golan Heights, on November 21, 1973. (Ron Frenkel/GPO)

The Yom Kippur War broke out about four years after Israel completed its nuclear program and became, according to publications in the international media, a country with undeclared nuclear capability. The surprise attack by Egypt and Syria on October...

About Me

Dr. Dan Sagir is a research fellow at the Leonard Davis Institute for International Relations at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and the author of the book Weapons of Mass Deterrence: The Secret Behind Israel's Nuclear Power.

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