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Nov 3, 2020, 2:46 PM
Trump’s Black Hole – His Campaign Strategy
True, Donald Trump's flippant remarks are capable of repelling potential supporters, as when he told Jews last year, perhaps jocularly: "You're brutal killers, not nice people, but you have to vote for me. You have no choice." But gaffes like...
Sep 30, 2020, 2:42 PM
Biden’s the Winner
Joe Biden is the big winner of last night's debate. It may seem surprising that any candidate benefited from a debate that made them both look so bad. They spent most of the time behaving like incoherent toddlers. And...
Sep 15, 2020, 7:50 PM
Trump Doesn’t Deserve the Nobel Peace Prize But He Should Get it Anyway
Today, Israel will sign the historic peace deals that Trump brokered with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain. Well, at least the Norwegian lawmaker who nominated Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize thinks they're historic. Trump's domestic opponents are...
May 17, 2020, 4:59 PM
Gantz’s real strategic blunder today – it’s not what you think
Benny Gantz actually had a historic opportunity to unseat Binyamin Netanyahu as prime minister. All he had to do was wait. Instead, Gantz is poised to throw it all away. Later today he's scheduled to go ahead with his agreement...
Aug 31, 2019, 10:36 PM
No-deal Brexit Will Happen
That is, parliament can't stop Boris Johnson now, and the European Union won't. If he wants it to happen, it'll happen. Starting this week, members of parliament will put up a fight. The BBC and even the House of Commons'...
Mar 24, 2019, 10:02 AM
Benny Gantz is doomed
This week Donald Trump is expected to recognize Israel's annexation of the Golan Heights - which some supporters of Benny Gantz see as Trump's ploy to save Bibi's re-election campaign. But Bibi doesn't need saving. He’s on course to...
Nov 9, 2016, 12:22 AM
Polls Secretly Show Trump Will Win – and How I Know
While most polls publically conclude that Donald Trump is behind or that the race for the US presidency is tight, a review of the raw data reveals that that conclusion is based on one big faulty assumption – the...
May 17, 2016, 12:24 AM
The Palestinian Refugees Really Are Special
Today begins the three weeks between Nakba Day, in which the Palestinians mourn the founding of Israel, when hundreds of thousands of them fled their homes and became refugees, and Naksa Day, in which they mourn Israel's victory in...
Oct 13, 2015, 12:33 PM
Israel is Poised to Repeat Last Year’s Gaza Defeat
Here's how the latest round of terror attacks against Israelis will end: Israel stages military operations and arrests while simultaneously offering concessions – perhaps on recognizing a PLO state, perhaps on limiting Jewish access to the Temple Mount, perhaps...
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About Me
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Daniel Stiebel is a political forecaster specializing on the Mideast and Europe. He identifies major political forces and contrasts them with politicians' reactions to them, enabling him to forecast their behavior.
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