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Sep 25, 2026, 10:49 AM

Iran’s Two-Chokepoint Leverage

Saudi Arabia’s route around one maritime crisis is increasingly exposed to another. With traffic through the Strait of Hormuz severely constrained, Riyadh has relied more heavily on alternatives that move oil westward to the Red Sea. At the same...

Aug 20, 2026, 9:50 AM

Hamas’s Strategic Trap

The group shattered Israel’s sense of security—but unleashed consequences it could not control

Aug 19, 2026, 9:49 AM

The U.S.-Israel Alliance Can Fight Together

The Pentagon should help close three gaps exposed by the Iran war: campaign termination, regional missile defense, and industrial replenishment The Iran war has demonstrated that the United States and Israel can coordinate military operations at remarkable scale. It has...

Aug 16, 2026, 11:20 AM

Iran War Could Strengthen the U.S.-Israel Alliance

The Iran War Could Strengthen the U.S.-Israel Alliance, If Washington and Jerusalem Don’t Waste It Battlefield coordination is real, but unless it becomes a strategy for war termination, regional security, and industrial resilience, today’s solidarity could become tomorrow’s strain Wars do...

Jun 10, 2026, 9:47 AM

Hamas Broke the Old Order but Lost Control

Hamas succeeded in shocking Israel. But shock is not the same as strategic control. The October 7 attack was designed to rupture an emerging regional and political equilibrium. Before that day, Israel’s working assumption was that Gaza could be contained,...

Feb 1, 2026, 8:33 AM

The Partisan Abyss of U.S.-Israel Alliance

The era of bipartisan consensus on Israel is over. For decades, support for the Jewish state of Israel was a pillar of American foreign policy that transcended party lines, a rare point of agreement in an increasingly fractured political...

Mar 14, 2025, 6:36 PM

Release of Hostages and the Destruction of Hamas

The accelerated release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas and the destruction of the military capabilities of the terrorist organization may appear to be contradictory objectives, but they are both necessary and achievable simultaneously. The leaders handling this crisis are...

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About Me

Ofer Israeli is a Senior Lecturer in International Relations and Security Studies at Ashkelon Academic College and the developer of International Relations Complexity Theory. He is the author of four books on war, unintended consequences, systemic complexity, and Middle Eastern politics, most recently Complex Effects in Middle East Conflicts (Magnes Press, 2026: https://links.responder.co.il/?lid=41670461&sid=669772601&k=1de5285fb5cf1937de2b01598d27ef79).