Erfan Fard

Biden, Trump and Iran in the US 2024 Election

Trump, Biden and Iran. Photos: Gage Skidmore / edited by Shabbir Lakha - Pressenza

As the US gears up for the 2024 presidential elections, the potential rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump brings US-Iran relations into sharp focus. However, the real story is not about the personalities in the White House but the policies that govern this critical international relationship.

The US’s stance towards Iran has historically transcended party lines, shaped more by strategic interests than partisan politics. This is evident in the diverse perspectives of the Iranian-American community, which, while significant in influence, often finds itself torn between its heritage and the policies of its adopted homeland.

Historically, US interventions in Iran, irrespective of the administration, have significantly influenced Iran’s socio-political landscape. From Carter’s controversial dealings with the late Shah and Khomeini to Obama’s overlooked Iran uprising and outreach to Khamenei, and Biden’s optimistic dialogue approach – each policy has left an indelible mark. These actions reflect a pattern of inconsistency and lack of decisive support for the Iranian people’s democratic aspirations.

In Iran, a dictatorship cloaked in religious authority continues to oppress. Despite the changing faces in the US presidency, this authoritarian regime remains unchallenged, its tyranny unbroken. The Trump administration’s approach, particularly the elimination of Qasem Soleimani, a key figure in Middle Eastern terrorism, and the attempt to renegotiate post-JCPOA deals, resonated deeply within Iran. Trump’s actions demonstrated a direct and impactful approach, albeit with mixed results.

The Biden administration, and the possibility of Trump’s return, raises important questions about the US’s future strategy towards Iran. The concern is not just bilateral relations but encompasses regional dynamics, including Iran’s relationships with Russia and China, its role in global terrorism, and the implications for Israel’s security.

The challenge for the US is dual: dealing with Iran’s regime, a central player in regional instability, and considering the Iranian opposition, which is pivotal for a democratic future but lacks support from US institutions like the State Department and the CIA.

Looking ahead, the US’s approach to Iran will be critical, affecting not only bilateral ties but also regional stability and global security. The focus should be on strategic policy decisions rather than the personalities of Biden or Trump.

In conclusion, while leadership styles influence foreign policy, in US-Iran relations, it is the broader policy framework that is paramount. As the 2024 elections approach, it is crucial to look beyond the individuals and focus on the policies they advocate, especially regarding Iran. The stability and prosperity of the region, and indeed, the world, hinge on these strategic decisions.

About the Author
Erfan Fard is a counter-terrorism analyst and Middle East Studies researcher based in Washington, DC. He is in Middle Eastern regional security affairs with a particular focus on Iran, Counter terrorism, IRGC, MOIS and Ethnic conflicts in MENA. \He graduated in International Security Studies (London M. University, UK), and in International Relations (CSU-LA), and is fluent in Persian, Kurdish, Arabic and English. Follow him in this twitter account @EQFARD
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