Ira Straus

Costs of Regime Change, Domestic vs Imposed

Today’s foolish slogan is that regime change is OK only when it’s done purely domestically, by a revolution.

 

That has it backwards.

 

Domestic revolution costs far more than regime change sponsored from abroad. And it usually comes out far worse – with chaos and a new tyranny.

 

Domestic Revolution is the Road to Disaster

 

How many revolutions have turned out for the better in modern times? Very few. But regime changes engineered from abroad? Lots of them have turned out well. It all depends on who does the engineering.

 

Just look at the litany of modern revolutions. The French Revolution turned to a terror regime and cost millions of lives. The Russian Revolution was worse. Same with the Chinese.

 

Even the small revolutions — the Cuban Revolution, the Vietnamese, the Cambodian – have been terrible.

 

We see this in the wrong context because we think of our American Revolution when we talk about revolution.

 

Today, our American historians are even doubting the American revolution and repeating – but from a contorted a far left perspective — the criticisms our Tories always made of it: that it was a bloody civil war for very little; British rule was not a tyranny but the font of our own freedom; it broke up the Anglo-American empire of freedom and invited unfree powers in Europe to reassert themselves in world wars; and it reinforced the power of our own slave owners, forcing us to fight another, very bloody civil war to finally end slavery. But we still have the positive side: it did permanently confirm and enhance the freedom of our settler-citizen population, and became the basis of a great free country.

 

We’d have to go back even farther, to 1688 and the Glorious Revolution in England, to find a Revolution that came out clearly for the better. And that one turned out so well because it was in reality not a revolution at all. It was a bloodless Parliamentary coup. And it got help from outside, with Prince William of Orange rolling in to become King of England. It confirmed a thousand years of evolution of British liberty and codified it in a constitutional settlement.

 

The reality we really need to understand today is that, without extraordinary favorable conditions, revolutions are likely to turn out for the worse. And to be bloody, costly affairs along the way to that outcome. And make everyone celebrate them anyway, in obscene coerced national festivals as if they were the most wonderful things anyway, they way the Cubans and Chinese do every every.

 

We should not be deceived. Revolution is the least good option.

 

But regime changes engineered from abroad? Lots of them have turned out well. It all depends on who does the engineering.

 

Not the ones engineered by Hitler and Stalin, of course.

 

But yes, the ones engineered by America or Britain.

 

Making Regime Change Great Again

 

The American-led regime changes have almost always turned out for the better. We did them in all our history. They were very much for the good. We could have never become the great America that we are today without them.

 

We can do it again in Iran.

 

It’s time for Trump to make American-led regime changes great again!

About the Author
Chair, Center for War/Peace Studies; Senior Adviser, Atlantic Council of the U.S.; formerly a Fulbright professor of international relations; studied at Princeton, UVA, Oxford. Institutions named above for identification purposes only; views expressed herein are solely the responsibility of the author.
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