Hamidreza Zarifinia

Do not make a nuclear deal with a regime based on lie and secrecy

These days, the hot discussion of the imminent agreement between the Islamic Republic and the West in the form of  the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action(JCPOA) is in the focus of media and political circles. Washington and Tehran have passed the face-to-face negotiations and reached the stage of letter-writing. One side sends suggestions in a letter and the other investigates and prepares the answer!

In this photo released by the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Enrique Mora, a leading European Union diplomat, second right, attends a meeting with Iran’s top nuclear negotiator Ali Bagheri Kani, third left, in Tehran, Iran, Sunday, March 27, 2022. Mora held talks in Tehran amid hopes that an agreement to restore Iran’s tattered nuclear deal with world powers could be completed. Others are unidetified. (Iranian Foreign Ministry via AP)

The international community is facing this fundamental question, what will be the consequences of agreement, if we assume these will end up an agreement with the Tehran regime? At first, we have to emphesise that apart from the technical issues related to the negotiation process, Tehran has a hidden intention to deceive the negotiating parties from the beginning. Many believe that the possible agreement of the JCPOA will be based on a string of lies, lies that Tehran has repeated in different forms since the past four  decades.  The lies have been repeated so many times that now they had become believable for the West side. For example, the scenario of Ayatollah Khamenei’s fatwa which sates the use of nuclear weapons is forbidden, was so skillfully and morally designed that it had influenced the westerners for a long time. Finally the penny dropped and it became clear that the extraordinary and accelerated progress of Iran’s nuclear program follows another specific purpose.

Traces of the uranium? Don’t ask anything!

This photo shows centrifuge machines in the Natanz uranium enrichment facility in central Iran. (Atomic Energy Organization of Iran via AP, File)

Tehran is not really looking agreement because every time raises something that will extend the negotionation. They  raised the issue of removing IRGC from the terrorist list and then they raised the question of receiving compensation from America and now they have raised the issue of safeguarding three suspected nuclear sites; even Ebrahim Raisi (the president of Iranian) has declared the last one as an obstacle to the agreement. Some analysts close to the opposition in exile and outside Iran say: “The Islamic Republic seeks to waste time and to play games with the world community until it reaches the stage of building nuclear weapons.” The agency’s cameras have been cut off for a long time, and God knows how far they have gone in the meantime.

A very interesting issue that Tehran has recently raised and considered to be an obstacle to reaching an agreement is very suspicious and dangerous, which is the request to close Iran’s defense issues: Tehran does not want to answer the logical question of what is the origin of the uranium traces discovered in its undeclared sites? Now they want these these questions being ignored and the case be closed! But the main question is why Iran does not want to clarify?

The story goes that agency inspectors have already identified three suspicious locations in Iran: the city of Marivan, Torquzabad in the suburbs of Tehran, and the city of Varamin .These last two sites were probably destroyed with the aim of removing traces of uranium. Tehran had previously claimed that this was the work of the foreign agents and now they says it is better to close the whole case! the more obvious question that no one dares to ask: Is there more dubious uranium somewhere hidden, away from monitoring, that is in use to make a nuclear weapons?

You can’t have your Cake and eat it!

Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi, second right, listens to an explanation while viewing an advanced centrifuge at an exhibition of Iran’s nuclear achievements in Tehran, Iran on April 9, 2022. (Iran President’s Office)

It seems that the mullahs are taking full advantage of the eagerness of America and Europe to reach an agreement.They have prepared a trap through which they can get nuclear weapons and and the same time force the westerners to sign a sterile agreement which can bring them billions of dollars of money for development. In fact, the desired outcome for the Islamic Republic are:

1-Leaving aside the disappeared and problematic uranium

2- Cancellation of all sanctions before the agreement

3- No question ever should be raised about the nuclear activities in Iran.

All the above points indicates that they are not willing to give any points, but want all the points at once.

Confession of wickedness!

During the last few months, a number of current and former officials of the Islamic Republic have admitted to trying to obtain nuclear weapons or considered moving towards having them as the right of the Islamic system of Guardian Jurist. Ali Motahari, one of the former representatives of the legislative branch and a close relative of Ali Larijani (former head of parlimant), admitted a while ago: “The Islamic Republic planned to build nuclear weapons from the very beginning, but this government plan failed due to disclosure”. At the same time, referring to Iran’s move towards uranium enrichment, he stated: “Definitely, a country that is looking for peaceful activity will go for the construction of the reactor first, not the high-purity enrichment that we were looking for”. Ali Shamkhani is one of the other high-ranking officials of the Islamic Republic of Iran, who recently admitted: “Iran’s nuclear capability should be like the sword of Damocles over the heads of the covenant breakers to fulfill their obligations”. In the meantime, Mohammad Eslami (Chairman of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran) while accusing the International Atomic Energy Agency ironically said:” If we reach an agreement, we will only inform them. For example, we will only say what we will do with this amount of nuclear material! Because according to the laws approved by the Islamic Council of Iran, the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency is a minimum supervision and not a maximum supervision”, and that means we will only report on what we want to do”. Also, many times in recent months, several members of the Iranian parliament and the former head of the Atomic Energy Organization of the Islamic Republic have emphasized that they have sought to build nuclear weapons from the beginning and will continue to seek access to them. Fereydoun Abbasi (current member of the Energy Commission of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the former head of the Atomic Energy Organization) recently emphasized blackmail from the West with plutonium and said that we should scare the West with our own plutonium. A very interesting point in his statement is that he said: “Our enriched uranium should not be at the level of 60%, but we should enrich uranium above 90% with two goals. 1- For scientific research  2- For making nuclear fuel for submarines”. He even says that we should do these actions publicly and under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency and that is, just informing them is enough. From his point of view, as soon as these cases are reported to the agency, it is enough and this is a sign of Iran’s honesty! Kamal Kharazi (Chairman of the Strategic Council of Foreign Relations of the Islamic Republic), who works directly under the supervision of the leader of Iran, announced a while ago: We were able to increase the uranium enrichment from 20% to 60% in just a few days and we can easily increase it to 90% . Now, Ebrahim Raisi (the head of the government of Iran), who is mostly referred to as the spokesman of the leader of the regime and is basically a person who lacks the power of individual analysis and evaluation, has announced that Iran’s case in the International Atomic Energy Agency should be closed first, and then It is from this stage that we can move towards an agreement.

Iran’s strategy for a rainy day

As analysts say based on what they have heard from Iran’s internal circles, the strategy of the Islamic Republic is predictable. Tehran attempts to reach the nuclear weapon because they think that republican can take office in the presidential elections of the next two years in the United States and having a nuclear weapon can change the balance of the power in Iranian’s favor

Now this question arises, what are the benefits of the agreement with Iran for the international community? If we look carefully, the Islamic Republic has the technical ability to make nuclear weapons. About the suspicious uranium that they have never been willing to explain and will not explain in the future. In general, what they want from this contract is all the economic benefits. According to many analysts, the JCPOA II agreement with Iran will accelerate the nuclearization of the Islamic Republic, and with the release of a large amount of Iran’s blocked money, the Middle East region will face the most unprecedented chaos in history, which in turn, can sacrifice armed peace for an allover conflict. It seems that for this weak and fragile agreement, the world will not even give a whistle, a clap, or hurrah, to the Biden goverment and the democrats. Later, they have to make the same strong case for the disastrous Iran deal as they did for the hasty withdrawal from Afghanistan. It seems that this is a win-lose game in favor of Tehran. In this game, the mullahs get big money and everything they want, and in return, there will be no security and stability in any part of the world. Based on this and according to the statements and confessions of the regime and the official officials of the Islamic Republic, it seems that concealment and deception are part of the essence of this regime and in fact they play the role of demon. Therefore, the mullahs can act against their promises at any moment or advance their evil intentions in secret.

About the Author
Hamidreza Zarifinia is an Iranian writer, correspondent and news editor for the Times of Israel, based in London Office.