Good luck, Israel

It seems that Iran’s going to attack and nothing can be done to stop it. I’m thousands of miles away from you but a significant Iranian attack is going to affect much more than just Israel. That is understood.

We’re in uncertain times, to say that least. Are there any upsides? Potentially, yes. Uncertainty brings the potential for change that wouldn’t be possible otherwise. History and logic show it clearly. The only question is: what kind of change is in the air? A major Iranian attack is likely soon, per Israeli Officials and the White House. The consequences of that attack, if it’s indeed a significant strike, are going to bring about major changes on the geopolitical chessboard. What kind of changes? We’re yet to see.

Iranian people overwhelmingly detest the regime. I know it from my conversations with them. Women not wearing hijabs are photographed even in their cars, and, if my understanding is correct, receive an SMS reminding them to put it on shortly after or face penalties and visits to Police Stations. Nuts, if this is indeed accurate. I don’t want to be a propagandist and that’s what an Iranian woman told me was actually going on in Iran.

The post-revolution Iran isn’t the same Iran that took in around a hundred thousand Polish refugees during the Second World War, many of who, by the way, had been fleeing the Soviets ”liberating” Poland along with Nazi Germany in September 1939.  Maybe, in some parallel universe, Iran had never turned into a brutal theocracy but, sadly, we’re not in that universe. We’re in a much worse or, if you prefer, interesting, universe.

Iran is an ancient civilization, unlike Russia, that’s basically a gas station masquerading as a nation with citizenry mostly composed of quasi-imperial-schizophrenics who see Ukrainian Nazis everywhere. And Satanists, of course.

In my article for Kyiv Post from May 2023, the article describing the potential geopolitical realities that seemed like an idealist’s pipedream at the time, I wrote:

Terrified of  The Hague, with no way out, Russian propagandists will get rid of the incriminating evidence against themselves, perhaps even kill themselves, rather than stand trial for their crimes.

(One can hope, right?)

Russian scientists could be forced to work for foreign powers, just like high-ranking German rocket scientists were forced to work for the US after the Second World War.

What do we do with the millions of Russians who are brainwashed by the Z-Cult, particularly with the members of the Yunarmiya, Putin’s Young Army? If they are as fanatical as Hitlerjugend, they will fight to the death for the collapsing regime. And most of these young Z-zealots will likely die.

Who knows, maybe similar changes can start happening in Iran, too? The Iranian people are eager and freedom-loving, unlike Russians, but can’t do this alone.

Now, it’s possible, though highly unlikely given all the developments, that Iran and its proxies are just huffing and puffing and there’ll be no major retaliation. That it’s all just a fog of war, a maskirovka, red herrings, smoke and mirrors, Sun Tzu tactics. It doesn’t seem so.

It would be absurd and a big blow to Iran. No, scratch that. It would be an irreperable blow to the regime’s reputation. They simply can’t let it slide, even if they wanted to. Not doing anything at this point would likely mean the collapse of their reputation and the subsequent collapse of the regime which could happen, anyway. They really are in a damned if you do, damned if you don’t situation. The only question is: which damnation is worse?

Whatever happens, I hope that, when the storm passes, a better geopolitical order will emerge out of the incoming, from what I’m reading – imminent – conflagration.

If you’d like to read more of my Kyiv Post articles, covering a wide range of topics, not strictly Ukraine-related, please visit: Adam Borowski, Author at the Kyiv Post

I wish you all the best in what’s shaping up to be a bumpy road ahead. Good luck, Israel.