Moshe-Mordechai van Zuiden
Psychology, Medicine, Science, Politics, Oppression, Integrity, Philosophy, Jews

Shamelessly bad pollsters refuse to apologize again

There is a problem with my memory. It’s excellent. That’s not always easy for people who count on us forgetting. I remember that in 2015, top pollster Mina Tzemach completely wrongly predicted the outcome of the national elections, also blaming the voters and not her lack of professionalism. Just like now.

I must admit that the disaster then was so big that I assumed we would never hear from her again. But no, she’s still doing the same stuff with the same results as if she’s excellent at what she does.

Now she claims that Likud voters lied to her. Poor thing. But really, she underestimated the Likud in 2015 also by many Knesset seats. You don’t blame the voters–you correct accordingly. The rightwing always lies to pollsters. That’s how Trump and Brexit won “by surprise.”

(I’m not saying that she was any worse than everyone else. But now that she goes to the press to blame the voters for her extraordinary off work, I need to answer her.)

Besides, almost all polls that I read about this 2019 election circus were absurdly unprofessional. A margin of insecurity of 4% with half a dozen political parties being predicted to score around the electoral threshold of 3.25%. That means that these polls could not predict if half a dozen parties would each receive 4 or 0 seats. Ridiculous. Not that “experts” will tell you.

I don’t know why the media and the public accept this kind of bad work. I don’t know if it’s stinginess from those who commissioned them, that they don’t want to pay for larger polls. But a professional pollster needs to say: for such money I can’t do anything that I could be proud of.

When will the public revolt against this shoddy work? When it gets a memory, probably.

BTW, what a blunder by Bibi to go after the voters of the small rightwing parties, just before the elections. He may have gained one or two seats, or maybe none. But he killed the New Right (four seats). His prospective coalition could have been so big that he wouldn’t have to arm-wrestle everyone so hard. He could say to each party, you don’t want in — I can do without you. Now he can’t. If I were him, I would join the New Right in requesting a recount.

About the Author
The author is a fetal survivor of the pharmaceutical industry (DES - Diethylstilbestrol), born in 1953 to two Dutch Holocaust survivors who met in the largest concentration camp in the Netherlands, Westerbork, and holds a BA in medicine (University of Amsterdam). He taught Re-evaluation Co-counseling, became a social activist, became religious, made Aliyah, and raised three wonderful kids. He wrote an unpublished tome about Jewish Free Will. He's a vegan for 8 years now. * His most influential teachers (chronologically) are: his parents, Nico (natan) van Zuiden and Betty (beisye) Nieweg, Wim Kan, Mozart, Harvey Jackins, Marshal Rosenberg, Reb Shlomo Carlebach and lehavdiel bein chayim lechayim: Rabbi Dr. Natan Lopes Cardozo and Rav Zev Leff. * Previously, for decades, he was known to the Jerusalem Post readers as a frequent letter writer. For a couple of years he wrote hasbara for the Dutch public. His fields of attention now are varied: Psychology (including Sexuality and Abuse), Medicine (including physical immortality), Science, Politics (Israel, the US and the Netherlands, Activism - more than leftwing or rightwing, he hopes to highlight Truth), Oppression and Liberation (intersectionally, for young people, the elderly, non-Whites, women, workers, Jews, GLBTQAI, foreigners and anyone else who's dehumanized or exploited), Integrity, Philosophy, Jews (Judaism, Zionism, Holocaust and Jewish Liberation), Ecology and Veganism. Many people can't understand or like him because he has such a wide vision that he never fits any specialist's box. But that exactly what others love about him. Many of his posts relate to affairs from the news or the Torah Portion of the Week or are new insights that suddenly befell him. * He hopes that his words will inspire and inform, reassure the doubters but make the self-assured doubt more. He strives to bring a fresh perspective rather than bore you with the obvious. He doesn't expect his readers to agree. Rather, original minds must be disputed. In short, his main political positions are: anti-Trumpism, for Zionism, Intersectionality, non-violence, democracy, anti the fake peace process, for original-Orthodoxy, Science, Free Will, anti blaming-the-victim and for down-to-earth optimism. Read his blog how he attempts to bridge any discrepancies. He admits sometimes exaggerating to make a point, which could have him come across as nasty, while in actuality, he's quit a lovely person to interact with. He holds - how Dutch - that a strong opinion doesn't imply intolerance of other views. * His writing has been made possible by an allowance for second generation Holocaust survivors from the Netherlands. It has been his dream since he was 38 to try to make a difference by teaching through writing. He had three times 9-out-of-10 for Dutch at his high school finals but is spending his days communicating in English and Hebrew - how ironic. G-d must have a fine sense of humor. In case you wonder - yes, he is a bit dyslectic. November 13, 2018, he published his 500st blog post with the ToI. * He likes doing age-appropriate and age-inappropriate things and looks forward to getting to know his timeless mature out-of-the-box soul mate. * To send any personal reaction to him, scroll to the top of the blog post and click Contact Me.
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