The Metaverse and its Impact on Diplomacy

Presently, the Metaverse is only a vision. It is a roadmap guiding the activities of tech companies around the world. At the most basic level, the Metaverse will be a second plane of existence. Imagine living simultaneously in two worlds- one physical and other virtual. While commuting to work in the physical plane, you may meet friends for coffee in the virtual plane. Thanks to computer-brain interfaces, you will be able to smell the coffee beans in the virtual café, hear the conversations in nearby tables and even touch the fine oak tables. These two planes will co-exist in real time and you will be able to move seamlessly between them.

The Metaverse will serve a virtual layer that complements the physical world. Imagine that one can enter a store in the physical plane, while simultaneously visiting a second store, located in the same place yet in the virtual plane. This means that fashionable streets around the world will be duplicated. You will physically enter H&M in London’s Regent Street while at the same time entering a pop-up store in the virtual plane. The world will be doubled. That’s double the space and double the real-estate. The Metaverse will thus constitute its own, fully functioning economy where individuals may buy or sell products and services. One could, for instance, become a Metaverse real-estate mogul.

The Metaverse will not be built on simple virtual reality, but it will be a second reality. The Metaverse will not exist in parallel to the physical world but it will intersect the physical world. The Metaverse will not be like the Matrix where one enters a virtual environment while being unconscious in the physical world. No, the Metaverse will allow Trinity and Neo to shop for baby clothes while at the same time fighting agent Smith inside the Matrix. In this way, the Metaverse will continue the process of annihilating time and space. People living in rural areas will be able to work virtually in a metropolis. And people working in major cities will be able to vacation virtually in rural areas. The Metaverse may thus bring about the end of work-based migration while small countries, with limited physical resources, may prosper in the virtual plane doubling their size and their economy.

Covid19 offered a glimpse of what the Metaverse might look like as museums and art galleries across the world created immersive digital experiences that replaced physical visits. During the pandemic, digital publics could virtually visit the Palace of Versailles or stroll through Japanese Manga exhibits. Like cultural institutions, some governments have already begun working on a national Metaverse. The government of South Korea, for instance, has teamed up with local IT companies to create immersive environments in which pop culture may be consumed.

The vision of the Metaverse raises fundamental questions for those practicing diplomacy. First, will governments join this vision or act against it? Will the governments of China or Russia  strive to create their own Metaverse which they may control in terms of content, commerce and surveillance of users? This has already happened with present day technologies as authoritarian governments have created tightly controlled “splinternets”. Such is the case with the Chinese internet which is surrounded by a Great Firewall that prevents Chinese from accessing forbidden, Western websites.

Second, what international laws will the Metaverse require? New rules for freedom of online speech? New regulations for taxing virtual activities? Similarly, will virtual crimes be tried in the virtual plane, the physical plane or both? Third, will accords signed in the physical plane be applicable to the virtual realm? And vice versa? It is already hard to separate the virtual and physical planes of existence, the classroom and the WhastApp group. Yet in the Metaverse this very distinction will collapse. How will this affect relations between states and the basic functions of the international system?

Perhaps the greatest challenge posed by the Metaverse will be in the realm of regulation given the data collected during immersive experiences including pupil dilation, heartbeat and biometric data. Who will own this new form of data? Could it be sold by Metaverse companies? Or will there be national regulations that determine what data can and cannot be used for profit? The lax regulation of social media, and the pervasiveness of hate speech online, suggests that the Metaverse will be a lawless plane at least in its early days. As governments lag behind the tech sector, the international conventions of the Metaverse may only be debated once the Metaverse exists.

Yet the Metaverse may also prove useful to diplomats, especially in terms of negotiations. Through fully immersive environments diplomats from around the world may gather and negotiate face-to-virtual-face. Global summits in the Metaverse will have an added benefit in terms of climate change as diplomats will not need to leave their capital to meet with peers. Similarly, the Metaverse may alter diplomatic crisis management as diplomats may meet virtually as soon as hostilities between states erupt thereby reducing the time necessary to resolve violent conflicts. Even trust building measures between enemy states may begin in the virtual plane long before opposing leaders meet physically.

Winston Churchill famously described diplomacy as the art of telling someone to go to hell in a way that they actually look forward to the journey. One can only imagine what a fully immersive hell will feel like in the Metaverse.