Aaron T. Walter

Trump’s Cash-for-Concessions Is Appeasement

President-elect Donald J. Trump arrives with U.S. President Barack Obama at the Capitol for the 58th Presidential Inauguration in Washington, D.C., Jan. 20, 2017.
President-elect Donald J. Trump arrives with U.S. President Barack Obama at the Capitol for the 58th Presidential Inauguration in Washington, D.C., Jan. 20, 2017. (DoD photo by U.S. Air Force Staff Sgt. Marianique Santos. Public Domain photo, Wikicommons.)

Donald Trump seems ready to adopt a strikingly similar strategy, exchanging money for concessions, just months after harshly denouncing Barack Obama’s Iran deal. This shocking change exposes hypocrisy and draws attention to a concerning trend: America’s tendency to view Iran’s aggression as a negotiable problem rather than a serious threat.

Trump presented himself as a steadfast opponent of appeasement during his campaign against the Iran nuclear deal. He portrayed the $1.7 billion cash transfer from the Obama administration to Tehran as an act of weakness and a surrender that encouraged hostage-taking and violent conduct. The irony is striking now; Trump is endangering the very values he professed to support by following the same perilous route he once condemned. This return to cash-for-concessions diplomacy sends a worrying message to Iran: hostility, defiance, and brinkmanship will pay off financially. Tehran has little reason to alter its actions if it discovers that the United States can still be persuaded to make concessions by its aggressive strategies. Iran will only be encouraged to intensify its provocations by the cycle of public toughness, private negotiation, and final accommodation.

This strategy’s detractors have long cautioned about its drawbacks. Although cash payments might temporarily appease the regime, they eventually damage American credibility and give adversaries more confidence. Trump runs the risk of continuing a cycle of weakness by participating in talks that resemble the very appeasement he denounced. The historical lesson is crystal clear: appeasement encourages more aggression rather than promoting peace. Any agreement is better than escalation, according to supporters of Trump’s new course. However, this logic is seriously flawed. A deal that benefits Iran without sufficiently limiting its aggressive actions or nuclear aspirations is a capitulation rather than a victory. It jeopardizes American national security and runs the risk of justifying the regime’s antagonistic actions.

The irony of Trump’s current position is evident. He made his political name by criticizing the failed strategies of his predecessors, but he now seems ready to adopt them. This reversal raises serious concerns about his leadership and the course of US foreign policy. When he is essentially employing the same tactics that he once denounced, can he still be perceived as a tough negotiator? In the end, Trump’s experimentation with a cash-for-concessions strategy may prove to be his greatest foreign policy error. If he is unable to strike a balance between his words and deeds, he could endanger not only his presidency but also the long-term security of the United States. The stakes are high and everyone is watching. Trump must make a choice that genuinely shows strength and resolve rather than succumbing to the dangerous temptation of appeasement.

About the Author
Dr. Aaron Walter teaches International Relations. He writes on American foreign policy towards Israel. In addition to topics directly related to U.S.-Israeli politics, he has written on the presidency and security studies as linked to U.S., Europe, and Israeli studies
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