search
Yehudi Sabbagh
Jewish Leader and Activist from Guatemala

What are the odds God created humans?

To estimate the likelihood of humans being created by God versus evolving through random mutations, I posed the following question to five well-known AI platforms:

“What are the probabilities of successfully creating human replicas on another planet if we actively search for an Earth-like planet and deliberately engineer these replicas, compared to waiting for humans to evolve naturally through a random series of evolutionary mutations? Please provide the numerical probabilities along with a brief paragraph supporting your estimates.”

Although none of the AI platforms provided definitive answers, the following summaries of their responses were obtained:

ChatGPT

  • Actively engineering human replicas: ~9% chance within 100 years.
  • Natural evolution of humans elsewhere: ~0.0001% chance over billions of years.
    Active engineering is significantly more probable within a practical timeframe, underscoring the decisive role of deliberate effort compared to random processes.

Gemini

  • Engineered human replicas: Assuming we find an Earth-like planet and possess the necessary technology, the probability could range from 80% to 95%.
  • Natural evolution: Essentially infinitesimal. Replicating the exact evolutionary conditions that produced Homo sapiens is so improbable that it can be considered negligible.

Gork

  • Deliberate engineering of human replicas on an Earth-like planet: ~60%. Advancements in CRISPR, cloning, and space exploration support this optimistic estimate, tempered by challenges such as interstellar travel, planetary adaptation, and ethical considerations.
  • Natural evolution of humans: ~0.0001%. The specific sequence of mutations and environmental factors needed for humans to evolve independently is statistically unlikely, making Earth’s example a rare fluke.

DeepSeek

  • Deliberate engineering: The probability of creating human replicas on an Earth-like planet could range from 10% to 30% within the next few centuries, assuming breakthroughs in biotechnology, synthetic biology, and terraforming, as well as the discovery of a suitable planet.
  • Natural evolution: Less than 0.0001%. This process requires an astronomically precise alignment of random mutations, environmental pressures, and vast timescales.

Copilot

  • Actively engineering human replicas: Estimated at 30% to 50% within the next 1,000 years, contingent on continued advancements in genetic engineering, robotics, and artificial womb technology.
  • Natural evolution: Nearly impossible, with probabilities around 0.0001% or lower, as it would require conditions identical to those that led to human evolution on Earth.

Summary

The question can be reframed as: “What are the chances that humans were created by an intelligent entity versus being the product of random evolutionary mutations?”

The answers overwhelmingly favor the idea of intelligent design. While these are probabilities, not certainties, the stark contrast between the estimates for deliberate engineering and random evolution provides strong mathematical support for the notion of creation by an intelligent entity, which I refer to as God.

About the Author
Born in Guatemala in 1956. MBA. Businessman. Activist. Former president Jewish Community of Guatemala.
Related Topics
Related Posts