What if October 7 and Iran attack were trial runs?
All war is deception targeting the psychology (morale) of the enemy. From the sense of safety to the sense of statehood. Breaking the will of the enemy is paramount, otherwise, even if you gain territory, you’re going to have partisans on your hands blowing things up, murdering collaborators and derailing your plans. Military action is the most obvious stage of war meant to reshape the world order in your image, however twisted that image is. Ideologues such as Dugin are responsible for coming up with the image that is, of course, in line with what the tsar wants. Military commanders and intelligence agencies are responsible for bringing about whatever world deranged Dugins and others envision. You don’t have to graduate from a military academy to know that. It’s common knowledge.
So. What if October 7 and Iranian attacks were trial runs? Look at Israeli history. An all-out assault on Israel happened before. What if Israel’s enemies are working on two levels – one is the level we see. Hezbollah threatening Israel with missile barrages. Iran is quiet for now – too quiet for my taste. What about other groups and nations in the region? Are you sure they aren’t up to something? Just saying. Is it possible all these groups and nations are working together on a unified ”everything, everywhere all at once” attack? Missiles, ground attacks, sleeper cells activated around the world, cyber attacks, critical infrastructure attacks such as water supply poisoning, propaganda overdrive. You get the picture.
Before October 7, such a scenario would be absurdly paranoid. Now? It can’t be taken off the table, particularly in light of the whole global geopolitical mess and groups desperate to bring about the end of the world. Maybe all these attacks on Israel serve two purposes: one, the obvious: the enemy tests Israeli resolve and evaluates Israeli defensive and offensive capabilities in preparation for the unified attack; two, the enemy wants us to think there will be no escalation beyond what we’ve already seen. That these attacks aren’t connected and leading to something much bigger. Just because it sounds improbable, doesn’t make it impossible.
We need to look at all possibilities, no matter how outlandish. It just might be that what’s outlandish to us is exactly what our enemies are planning. But, given Israeli ingenuity:
”On one occasion, he said, late Israeli Prime Minister Itschak Rabin dispatched him and then Chief of Staff Ehud Barak to Washington to meet with Muallem and the former Syrian army Chief of Staff, Hikmat Shehabi, to discuss potential peace negotiations. He and Barak were disguised as women, wearing wigs and women’s clothing, and they took a commercial flight to Washington, he revealed.”
They must’ve been really convincing, then. I hope the charade was worth it.
Hopefully, some kind of a weak human link in the chain can be found and the worst-case scenario – averted. Or at least postponed as the threat is always there.