2nd Briefing for President Trump: Iran’s Threats

The transition and intelligence teams under President Trump must remain acutely aware that the Shiite mullahs ruling Iran are fundamentally deceitful, corrupt, criminal, duplicitous, manipulative, and murderous. It is imperative not to be misled by the signals these occupying rulers of Iran send, nor to be swayed by their grand promises. Negotiating or engaging in diplomacy with terrorists is tantamount to granting them legitimacy. Resolving the crisis in the Middle East can only be achieved through the dismantling of the Tehran regime; any alternative approach is naive and futile.

Any show of flexibility or promise by the mullahs is a blatant and undeniable lie. Even if they sign agreements, they will undoubtedly renege on them. Should they issue a Fatwa (a so-called religious decree), it must be understood that Khamenei is a murderous criminal, and his decrees are nothing more than the words of a perpetrator of atrocities, entirely devoid of credibility.

It must be acknowledged that if the terrorist mullahs’ regime in Iran succeeds in building their nuclear bomb, they’ll pose an undeniable & absolute threat to humanity. Through deceit, trickery, & lies, they may speak of dialogue, but in reality, their goal is to waste time, manipulate everyone, & mock the entire world.

Khamenei seeks terrorism abroad & repression at home—a stubborn, ignorant, & vile thug who won’t reform. He cares nothing for the opinion of the Western world, & his backward mentality makes any agreement impossible. He aligns himself with Russia, providing missiles & drones to Putin for the Kremlin’s attack on Europe (Ukraine), thereby becoming an accomplice in war crimes. Obama and Biden sought dialogue & diplomacy with this enemy of humanity & the West, but the result of their appeasement was the prolonged survival of the outlaw regime, the provocation of the Islamic Terrorism mafia, & relentless efforts toward NuclearBomb & longer-range missiles targeting Europe. Khamenei‘s mindset is deeply pathological. I hope the West finally realizes, after 45 years, that this malignant tumor must be surgically removed; otherwise, humanity in the 21st century won’t achieve peaceful coexistence. Kudos to Israel for clipping his claws & teeth, leaving him isolated & humiliated, desperately committing new atrocities from the shadows.

Strategic Analysis of the Islamic Republic of Iran’s Actions and Intentions

1. Strengthening Regional and International Relations
   Iran’s regime is actively seeking to bolster ties with neighboring states and regional powers, particularly China and Russia. Its dual strategy involves both cooperation and coercion:

• Policy of Fear and Hope: Iran is promoting regional alliances with its neighbors while simultaneously warning them that any military action by Israel or the United States against the regime will engulf the region in chaos, affecting them as well.
• Strategic Goals: These alliances aim to counterbalance U.S. influence and mitigate regional isolation.

Assessment: While Iran’s attempts to deepen ties with China and Russia present a long-term challenge, its threats to neighbors are a deterrence ploy and signal its vulnerability.

2. Enhancing Military Capabilities and Arming Proxies
   Iran’s defense strategy focuses heavily on expanding its missile and drone capabilities. This serves as a deterrent to potential attacks and a means to increase the cost of military action against the regime.

• Proxy Network: Iran continues to arm and strengthen militias in Iraq, Yemen, Syria, and Lebanon, including Hezbollah, to maintain regional influence and project power asymmetrically.
• Operational Enhancements: Recent intelligence indicates accelerated development of long-range missile systems and drone swarms.

Assessment: Iran’s reliance on proxies is a cornerstone of its asymmetric warfare strategy, but these networks present vulnerabilities that can be exploited by targeted strikes and sanctions.

3. Domestic Strategy: Suppressing Unrest Through Fear
   Economic conditions in Iran are deteriorating rapidly, with rising energy prices and declining government capacity to pay salaries and subsidies.

• Response to Unrest: To counter potential uprisings, the regime is deploying security forces to public spaces in visible and intimidating ways.
• Economic Forecast: Further sanctions or disruptions to Iran’s oil exports will exacerbate public dissatisfaction, increasing the likelihood of protests.

Assessment: The regime’s reliance on internal suppression highlights its fragility. Amplifying internal dissent through strategic communication could erode the regime’s stability.

4. Leadership Shift in U.S. Policy Toward Iran
   Key members of your administration, including Secretary of State, National Security Advisor, and CIA Director, have consistently expressed skepticism of Iran’s intentions. Notable policymakers such as Marco Rubio, Mike Waltz, and John Ratcliffe view Iran’s nuclear ambitions as a direct threat to U.S. and global security.

• Personal Stakes: Several members of your administration, including yourself, have been directly targeted by Iranian plots, underscoring the regime’s hostility.

Assessment: This shift from the previous administration’s leniency signals a stronger U.S. stance, which will likely disrupt Iran’s delaying and deceptive tactics.

5. Implications of October 7 Attack and Israeli Confrontation
   The October 7 attack on Israel and subsequent direct military confrontation have altered the geopolitical dynamics of the Middle East.

• Israeli Strategy: Israeli leadership views this period as a pivotal moment to address Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
• Iran’s Response: Tehran is attempting to maintain plausible deniability while escalating support for its proxies, such as Hezbollah and Hamas, to counter Israeli actions.

Assessment: The increased tension between Israel and Iran creates an opportunity to weaken Tehran’s regional influence through coordinated military and diplomatic efforts.

6. Recommendations for U.S. Policy
7. Reinforce Maximum Pressure Campaign

1. Sanctions: Reimpose and expand sanctions targeting Iran’s oil exports, financial networks, and key individuals.
2. Military Deterrence: Strengthen U.S. military presence in the region and enhance missile defense systems to reassure allies.

1. Counter Proxy Networks

1. Cut Funding: Disrupt financial channels supporting Iranian proxies.
2. Target Leadership: Conduct precision strikes against high-value targets within Iran’s proxy network to degrade their operational capabilities.

1. Amplify Internal Dissatisfaction

1. Support Democratic Movements: Develop messaging campaigns to amplify Iranian public dissatisfaction with the regime.
2. Expose Corruption: Highlight regime corruption and human rights abuses to undermine its domestic legitimacy.

1. Reform U.S. Strategic Communication

1. Overhaul Persian-Language Outreach: Strengthen U.S. State Department programming to counter Iranian propaganda effectively.
2. Cut Propaganda Channels: Dismantle Tehran’s influence operations in Washington and beyond.

7. Strategic Considerations for Immediate Action

• Operational Readiness: Ensure U.S. forces are prepared for swift responses to Iranian provocations.
• Allied Coordination: Deepen collaboration with Israel and Gulf allies to create a unified front against Iran.

8. Long-Term Goals

• Dismantle Nuclear Ambitions: Iran’s nuclear program remains the regime’s primary leverage. Denying this capability must remain a top priority.
• Promote Regime Accountability: Use international platforms to hold Iran accountable for regional instability and global terrorism.

Conclusion
Iran’s regime faces unprecedented internal and external pressures, making it more vulnerable than ever. However, its leaders will not hesitate to exploit every opportunity to preserve their power and advance their nuclear ambitions. Your administration is well-positioned to implement decisive actions that neutralize Iran’s threats, strengthen U.S. and allied security, and support the Iranian people’s aspirations for freedom and democracy.

With a comprehensive strategy that leverages military, economic, and informational tools, the United States can reshape the Middle East’s security landscape and ensure a safer future.

I believe it’s time to activate the “snapback mechanism” alongside the “maximum pressure” strategy. The savage, deceitful, oppressive, & murderous ayatollahs doesn’t understand diplomacy & has no respect for international laws.