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Hezbollah is now interested in an all-out war

A direct hit by a Hezbollah Katyusha rocket in a house in Kibbutz Malkiyah (Photo by Ido Meridor)

Anyone with eyes in their head sees that the situation in the north is escalating. Details cannot be reported, but there were several serious incidents in the last 24 hours.

Hezbollah has increased its level of activity. A few days ago, the IDF’s large observation balloon “Tal Shemayim” was hit by Hezbollah, and its people are successfully hitting Israeli targets and causing human and material damage with ease.

Much has already been written in the past about the fact that Hezbollah has a large arsenal of precision missiles and rockets that Israel will have difficulty dealing with and will cause great damage to Israel. A damage that might not be easily restored, in light of the growing budget deficit, the growing security spending and other reasons.

Israel is to prevent escalation with Hezbollah, and up until now so did Hezbollah. Mainly out of fear of the US and President Biden. But apparently Iran and Hezbollah recognize that Biden will not hurry to intervene a few months before the presidential elections, as he is scrutinized by members of his own party.

Israel is in a jam. It has no real ability to deal with Hezbollah, it has no reasonable way to eliminate Hamas as the members of the government claim, and it has no way of dealing with the most harmful threat to its present and future – Benjamin Netanyahu.

The best solution to strive for is a deal for the return of the abductees, the combination of which will be agreed on the withdrawal of Israel from Gaza and a status quo. And at the same time it will be possible to settle by agreement a new drawing of the border in the north and the cessation of mutual attacks. This is the solution I wish we could reach. But I’m not optimistic.

This whole situation is coming down to a tense few months, even weeks.
Israel will not go to elections (unless something happens to Netanyahu’s health), the US will not back Israel as it did so close to elections, the pyromaniacs in the Israeli government will strive and work to set fire in every possible arena and the Israeli public will suffer as a result.

If the best case is agreements, the worst case is a war with Hezbollah which is much more likely and continued Israeli occupation of Gaza. and at the same time a collapse of the Israeli economy (which should have already happened if not for Israel’s central bank selling $).

A couple of friends who left with their children the week after October 7 just sold their apartment this week. Good for them.

As unfortunately, in the medium and long term (certainly not the short term) nothing positive is expected to grow here. Even if Netanyahu is replaced.

About the Author
Attorney, former communications director for the Israeli government, lobbyist, strategy, former reporter for Galei Tzahal and Haaretz, former Shaliach to the US, CEO of The Israeli TV & Film Producers Association, Campaign manger for several parties and incumbents. Led several social causes, organizations, causes and unions. Life long volunteer and student.
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