Jose Lev Alvarez Gomez
The views expressed herein are solely mine.

Israel’s Forward Edge Beyond Its Borders

Credits: AI-Generated.

Israel’s military footprint abroad has never been about imperial vanity or flag-planting theatrics. It has always been about survival, reach, and the cold logic of deterrence in a hostile strategic environment that begins far from its borders and ends—if left unchecked—at Ben Gurion Airport.

From the Red Sea to the Caucasus and the Horn of Africa, Israel’s overseas presence, past, present, and prospective, reveals a consistent strategic doctrine: a small state refusing to fight only where its enemies choose.

Historically, Israel’s most consequential foreign military activity unfolded along the maritime arteries that feed its economy and sustain its security.

During the 1960s and 1970s, as part of what later became known as the ‘periphery doctrine’, Jerusalem developed military and intelligence footholds across East Africa and the Red Sea basin to break Arab encirclement and secure access to Eilat. These were not symbolic deployments but operational facilities—naval access points, radar installations, and listening posts—designed to monitor hostile fleets, Soviet-aligned Arab movements, and threats to Israeli shipping.

Under this strategy, Eritrea stands out as the most consistently documented case; in fact, multiple intelligence assessments over the years have pointed to Israeli naval and intelligence facilities in the Dahlak Archipelago, near Massawa, and at Amba Soira, explicitly linked to early-warning and surveillance missions over the Red Sea.

While officially denied, the persistence, geographic specificity, and strategic coherence of these reports make Eritrea the clearest example of an Israeli base-like presence beyond its borders.

Parallel to this maritime axis, Israel cultivated land-based forward reach through intelligence partnerships rather than overt basing. Iraqi Kurdistan is the most cited—and most misunderstood—example.

Although Israel never planted a flag or declared a formal base there, it did maintain a long-standing intelligence and security relationship with Kurdish actors dating back to the 1960s. The logic was straightforward: Kurdish territory offered proximity to Iran and insight into Iraqi—and later Iranian—military dynamics without the liabilities of permanent deployment.

Hence, the fact that Iran’s Revolutionary Guard has publicly claimed to strike alleged Israeli intelligence infrastructure in Kurdistan is revealing. Whether exaggerated or not, Tehran’s framing treats the region not as rumor but as a plausible Israeli forward intelligence zone.

Concurrently, Azerbaijan represents a different model altogether: not a covert outpost, but a deeply integrated security partnership. Israel’s defense relationship with Baku—encompassing air-defense systems, UAVs, intelligence sharing, and logistics—has created real strategic depth against Iran even in the absence of a declared Israeli base. Iranian accusations that Israel operates from Azerbaijani territory are best understood less as proof of fixed installations and more as evidence of how effectively Israeli reach has extended into Iran’s northern periphery. In modern warfare, integration often matters more than real estate.

At sea, Israel’s posture has evolved into a distributed forward presence across the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. Through naval deployments, access arrangements, and intelligence coordination, Israel has effectively built a network that functions like offshore forward operating locations. This light, flexible, and politically deniable model reflects Israel’s strategic reality: it must project awareness and deterrence without the luxury of permanent overseas garrisons.

Thus, this context makes Somaliland strategically unavoidable. Unlike Somalia (which has become the most dangerous jihadist nest in the world), Hargeisa is not a failed state but a stable, functioning de facto polity sitting astride the Bab el-Mandeb, through which roughly 10% of global trade transits.

Today, Iranian weapons shipments to the Houthis pass through this corridor. Chinese and Russian forces already operate nearby, with Beijing’s base in Djibouti standing as an unmistakable signal of great-power intent.

Thereby, an Israeli intelligence or logistics facility in or near Somaliland would not represent expansion but balance. Certainly, it would compress warning times for missile, drone, and naval threats emerging from Yemen, extend Israel’s operational depth into the northwestern Indian Ocean, and internationalize deterrence by directly tying Israeli security to global maritime stability.

Critics label this provocative.

But they said the same about peace with Egypt, normalization with the Gulf, and the Abraham Accords. They were wrong then, and they are wrong now.

What destabilizes regions is not Israeli presence but Israeli absence—vacated space rapidly filled by Iran, its proxies, or external powers that thrive on chaos and leverage.

Ergo, Israel’s overseas posture is defensive even when it appears assertive. It does not seek to rule foreign populations or redraw borders abroad; it seeks predictability. A listening post is not colonialism. A logistics hub is not an occupation. The accusation itself reveals more about the accusers’ imperial habits than about Israeli strategy.

For Somaliland, alignment with Israel offers legitimacy, security investment, and strategic relevance.

For Israel, it offers early warning, deterrence, and control over escalation pathways in one of the world’s most volatile maritime corridors.

In my opinion, this is not a zero-sum transaction but a convergence forged by geography and shared threat perception.

Contemporarily, Israel’s adversaries understand this reality, which is precisely why they rage against it. They know that once Jerusalem is present—not loudly, not symbolically, but operationally—the margin for surprise collapses.

That way, smuggling becomes harder, proxy warfare riskier, and the fantasy of bleeding Israel slowly from the periphery far less plausible.

Thanks G-d, Israel learned early that wars are rarely won where they are declared. They are won in advance, in quiet places, through positioning that makes aggression costly before the first shot is fired. Thence, forward presence abroad is not a luxury for Israel; it is the price of remaining alive in a region that never stopped testing whether it belongs.

About the Author
Jose Lev Alvarez is an American-Israeli scholar specializing in Middle Eastern security policy. A multilingual veteran of both the IDF Special Forces and the U.S. Army, he holds a B.S. in Neuroscience with a Minor in Israel Studies from American University, three master’s degrees (international geostrategy, applied economics, and intelligence studies), and a medical degree. He is currently completing a Ph.D. in Intelligence and Global Security in the Washington, D.C. area. In addition to blogging for the Times of Israel, he contributes to the Washington Examiner, is a writing fellow at the Middle East Forum, and regularly provides geopolitical analysis on Latin American television networks.
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