There are two basic reasons that make signing a treaty for a two-state solution, with the Palestinian Arabs, an impossibility for the Jewish Israelis. Yes, I said impossible.
First, is that any peace or state-creation treaty with the Palestinian Arabs would have to entail full agreement and compliance from all local Arab parties. And, that’s simply not going to happen as Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Fatah and the other factions whether fully radicalized or not, cannot, and will not agree.
Plus the reality in this region, apart from Israel, is that the political and social power is the ‘gun’ and the ruling party that most brutally wields it. And so far that is Hamas, Islamic Jihad, some radical members of Fatah and the increasing, clandestine Islamic State affiliates that have infiltrated Israel, Judea, Samaria (also known as the West Bank with Hamas previously there), and Gaza.
What’s more, the Arab perpetual ancestral inter-religious and tribal blood feuds are legendary, historical and cultural. Consequently the torturing and killing between Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Fatah, Islamic State and others will not cease any time soon.
Furthermore, the millennia, cultural-driven, family taught, school instructed, vile-hatred each of these Arab groups have towards the Jews and the State of Israel are solidly established, thriving and spiraling out of control. Besides the nearly endless reign of regional terror, conflicts and war.
Therefore, it makes no difference what Arab Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas says or signs as he is not the power. Nor does Abbas have the means or purportedly the slightest intention of ending this anti-Jewish and anti-Israeli insanity; neither does he have the force or control to stop it even after a ‘theoretical’ treaty or state formation.
President Abbas, who was voted into office in 2005, was supposed to end his term in 2009. However, like many leaders in this region had his term extended for various reasons until this day, some nine years after presidential term expiration. Abbas may represent the Palestinian Arabs to the world but more to the actuality is merely a figurehead. This is because of his lack of comprehensive influence and by and large confinement in the protection of his compound in the city of Ramallah separated from the outside dangers of Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Islamic State.
Second, if Palestine was to become a sovereign state, there is fundamentally no way politically or legally to prevent them from eventually having a full, modern army, navy and air force.
Even if the so-called Israel/Palestine accord was written to exclude armed forces, allegedly numerous international lawyers, the International Court, the United Nations (UN), and the abundant Muslim population, in addition to Israel-hating-countries would overrule that particularly clause in short order.
Moreover, purportedly Russia, China, Iran, Turkey, North Korea, Pakistan and others would gladly supply any and all weapons, material and military ground, air and sea platforms to the State of Palestine for no other reason than to jeopardize the interests of the United States (USA) in the region. Others would supply the weapons strictly to threaten and endanger Israel and the Jews.
Muslim votes in the UN would outnumber any USA and Israel resistance, as usual. The international courts would be flooded with charges against Israel, charges of unfairness, bias and Palestine endangerment. The Security Council would be at a standstill.
Then, on top of everything threatening Israel to date, Israel would have to deal with a fully, modern, weaponized Palestine, and at the mercy of whatever reckless and volatile leader ‘comes to power’. As well as the never-ending, long history of regional and domestic terror, conflicts and war from states, groups and individuals sworn to completely destroy the Jews and Israel.
Everything experienced in the past and present would be magnified several times over if Palestine was to become a sovereign state.
Palestine funding and volunteer forces of international lawyers, international courts, the UN, many Muslim Nations, and the anti-Semitic, Israel-haters would furiously fight to legally take Jerusalem or divide it. The current offensive against Israel would be nothing in comparison to the clout of a future sovereign Palestine State, the Muslim world and anti-Jewish/Israel assemblies coordinating a massive, united, legal assault on a Jewish Jerusalem.
Next, or in conjunction, would be removing the Holy sites from the State of Israel control and again using the same international legal system, Muslim votes in the UN, and the habitual routine of charges against Israel, charges of injustice, prejudice, apartheid, and imperilment of the Palestine history and culture.
But the most perilous confrontations between Israel and a sovereign Palestine State would be with Turkey, Russia, China, Iran, North Korea, Pakistan and their diplomats, civilians and military inside the State of Palestine. And, trying to stop the flow of weapons and platforms into Palestine directly via Turkish, Russian, Chinese, Iranian and Pakistani vehicles by land, sea and air.
Unfortunately, this hypothesis of the State of Israel’s potential further quandary is not a stretch of the imagination considering actual events in the past and has been a reality for Israel in one way or another since their rebirth in 1948. It is the reality now and pretty much a guarantee it will be the reality with a State of Palestine without deep-seated, internal transformation. It must come from within to be authentic and lasting.
In other words, in order for the future to alter a permanent and essential cultural and behavioral change must transpire.
For example for starters; all Arabs in and around Israel would have to stop and rectify the centuries of family taught, school instructed, vile-hatred of the Jews and the State of Israel.
They should fully agree and comply with pledges and accords, including Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Fatah and the other factions whether fully radicalized or not. Elect a leader who is dynamic, admired, respected, strong, and established for all Arabs in the region. Someone who wouldn’t be crushed and replaced by Hamas or Islamic Jihad moments after a Palestine State was formed.
And, the political and social power of the ‘gun’ and the ruling parties that most brutally wield it has to cease which would include the thousands and thousands of rockets and missiles aimed at Israel. In addition to stopping the continual reign of terror, conflicts and war.
Think that’s going to happen? There are no indications of change. In fact conditions are already dire and worsening. Many believe a dreadful war is inevitable perhaps resulting in catastrophic Jewish, Muslim, Druze, Christian and Baha’i populace devastation and tragic land mutilation and pollution.
Regrettably, history reflects that in ancient times only total war victory led to peace, similar to the empires of old which obliterated everything and all resistance. The most recent example is Word War Two which led to the unconditional surrender and mind change of Germany and Japan.
Sadly, historical worldwide events denote a long, pessimistic pattern in which people, cities and nations only surrender, agree, abide, keep or beseech treaties if there is a clear, dominant, undisputed winner and the loser is emphatically physically overcome and entirely mentally exhausted.
History also prophesies that people who don’t learn from the past are doomed to repeat the mistakes.
However we pray and hope, as do countless Arabs who too are distraught over this perennial trap of quarreling and violence, to find some escape or solution to this grave dilemma.
In the meantime, that’s why signing a treaty and creating a separate state for the Palestinian Arabs is impossible for the Jewish Israelis.