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Amine Ayoub
Middle East Forum Fellow based in Morocco

The Red Sea’s Echoes: Why Yemen’s “New” War is an Old Nightmare

Supporters of Yemen's Houthi rebels attend a rally marking the annual Quds (Jerusalem) Day commemorations in Sanaa on March 28, 2025 (Mohammed Huwais / AFP)

The Red Sea, once a bustling artery of global commerce, is now a flashpoint. Houthi missiles, defiant and destructive, tear through vital shipping lanes, disrupting supply chains, inflating prices, and spreading a palpable sense of instability across the world. For many observers, this aggression feels like a terrifying new frontier, a sudden and unpredictable twist in the Middle East’s seemingly endless conflicts. But make no mistake: Yemen’s current chaos is no novel phenomenon. It’s an ancient battlefield, reborn, where the ghosts of past proxy wars now animate a far more dangerous, Iranian-backed threat to American and Israeli interests. 

Cast your mind back to the 1960s, a largely forgotten chapter in the Cold War’s Middle Eastern theater. Then, Yemen plunged into a brutal civil war that became a proxy arena for competing regional titans. On one side, Gamal Abdel Nasser’s Egypt, championing pan-Arab nationalism and republican ideals, poured tens of thousands of troops into the rugged Yemeni highlands. Cairo’s ambition to project power and expand its ideological footprint fueled a devastating conflict, bleeding its own resources while deepening Yemen’s internal divisions. This historical intervention, driven by external ambitions, vividly illustrates how Yemen has long been a susceptible ground for outside interference, a crucible where regional powers have clashed, leaving behind a legacy of instability and human suffering. This historical pattern of external exploitation and internal fragmentation is crucial to understanding the predicament of Yemen today. 

Today, the primary external player has changed, but the game’s brutal logic remains chillingly familiar. Nasser’s pan-Arab dreams have given way to Iran’s revolutionary ambition. Where Cairo once sought to project influence, Tehran now commands a vast and increasingly dangerous “Axis of Resistance,” a network of proxies stretching from the Mediterranean coast to the Arabian Sea. This axis includes Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Gaza, and now, crucially, the Houthi movement in Yemen. The Houthis are not simply a local insurgency; they are Iran’s precision-guided missile in the southern Arabian Peninsula, a direct extension of their project to encircle and intimidate Israel, choke global trade, and undermine American influence in the critical waterways of the Middle East. 

The Houthis, armed and ideologically indoctrinated by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), threaten global prosperity and the security of key allies. Their attacks on commercial vessels and naval assets in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden aren’t random acts of defiance; they are calculated moves in Tehran’s grand strategy. These attacks directly imperil the free flow of oil and goods through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a narrow maritime choke point through which a substantial portion of the world’s commerce passes. Shipping costs skyrocket, supply chains snarl, and the global economy feels the pinch. 

For Israel, the Houthi threat is nothing short of existential. The attacks on Red Sea shipping directly imperil Eilat, the Jewish state’s vital southern port. Eilat serves as a crucial gateway for Asian trade, allowing Israel to bypass hostile overland routes and secure its economic lifeline. The specter of Iranian-backed missiles controlling this indispensable choke point is a nightmare scenario, transforming a maritime convenience into a strategic siege. Furthermore, the Houthis’ open threats against Israel and their proclaimed solidarity with Hamas underscore their role as another tentacle of the Iranian octopus, adding a dangerous new front to Israel’s multi-dimensional security challenges. 

For America, the stakes are equally profound and global in scope. Freedom of navigation is a cornerstone of international law and a vital pillar of global stability and economic prosperity. When a terrorist proxy can dictate terms in one of the world’s busiest maritime arteries, it’s a direct challenge to U.S. leadership and the international order. Protecting American interests in this context means more than safeguarding commercial vessels; it means upholding the very principles that underpin global trade and security. A failure to deter Houthi aggression signals weakness, emboldens Iran, and invites further destabilization across the Middle East and beyond. 

This is why a decisive, unambiguous response is paramount. The historical lesson of Yemen is chillingly clear: conflicts left unresolved, fueled by external agitators, inevitably metastasize into far greater regional conflagrations. Just as previous proxy rivalries once bled the peninsula and projected instability outward, Iran’s current proxy war threatens to ignite a much wider conflict that no nation can afford. The costs of inaction – prolonged economic disruption, escalated regional tensions, and the erosion of American credibility – far outweigh the immediate costs of decisive military and diplomatic action. 

About the Author
Amine Ayoub, a writing fellow with the Middle East Forum, is a policy analyst and writer based in Morocco.
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