The Second To Last Israeli War

With so many adversaries in the Middle East and the rigorous pressures involved plus Israel having to tread carefully around the Russians; someone is bound to make a mistake and tip the scales to conflict. And if the next war materializes, it has a reasonable chance of being downright brutal with significant losses and devastation.

Israel knows the combined current conditions may perhaps deteriorate and explode into a dreadful clash and as a result inflict grave losses to their citizens and heavily pollute the land from bio/chemical weapons. They have been preparing a strong offense and robust defense while training in war games, and earthquake and disaster exercises. The Israeli government does its best to organize the population without alarm and there are three main reasons for this.

First, there is always a rumor of war or some kind of terror incident in the Middle East commonly leading the Israeli public into casually disregarding warnings or veiled signs of hostilities. Second, regional and behavioral conditions may alter the existing aggression producing a gentle cooling without mass violence. Third, Israel is a democracy and operates responsibly towards their voters.

Therefore being a democracy, not wanting to panic citizens, and not wishing to add unnecessary fuel to the war-rumor-fires, the Israeli government does a balancing act of intense training and low key preparation.

Furthermore, Israel knows they can strike with surgical precision or crush any Middle East enemy by both conventional means and other.

With that being said, world pressure, political correctness, their own Jewish-Israeli distinguished morals, along with their high regard of life prevents them from fully and comprehensively assaulting or destroying their opponents.

At least so far.

But enough with the fluff; let’s analyze the cold, hard reality together with the deadly internal threat.

To be concise, the Arabs including the terror groups that separate themselves as enemies of Israel, which I will collectively refer to as ‘enemy Arabs’, know precisely what I listed above and much, much more.

However, I as well want to emphatically differentiate between ‘enemy’ and the numerous Arabs, Muslims and Druze who support and assist Israel, many at risk of torture and death. I am not discussing these Druze, Arab and Muslim friends and nations or the Israeli and Palestinian Arabs that support Israel.

Nevertheless, if war develops the enemy Arabs will quickly capitalize on the Israeli traits of bending to world pressure (as Israel occasionally does), political correctness, respecting life and laws, all of which are considered weakness by the enemy Arabs.

The enemy Arabs will try to enact every one of their ideal, combat coordinated efforts embraced by the Islamic State leftovers, Hezbollah, Iran, Syria, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Fatah, Palestinian Arabs, some Israeli Arabs and maybe some Iraqis. If the war progresses against Israel it is possible breakaway divisions from Turkey, Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt and Muslims from African countries may also join with the enemy offensive. The enemy Arabs will also try and draw the Russians into the fray against Israel.

A favorable Israeli outcome will heavily depend on Israel keeping its air superiority, which also comprises of a variety of offensive and defensive missile systems, while the enemy Arabs will counter and try to remove it. Likewise, Israel must prevent joint Islamic forces infiltrating through Gaza or Islamic forces in Gaza, Lebanon and Syria from overrunning parts of Israel.

Furthermore, a wild card could come from some of the Israeli Arabs and Palestinian Arabs in Israel. The ones who have unwisely decided, despite the good living standard compared to outside Israel, to instead collaborate with Israel’s enemies. They could be a major factor in the balance of battle because many know Israel’s intimate secrets of essential personnel and infrastructure.

What’s more, a few illegal foreigners and legal foreign workers come from Muslim friendly countries and may have been allegedly unwillingly, but nonetheless, compromised by suspected local and alien gangs and terror groups.

Yet with every single one of these combat challenges for Israel, besides the peril of the country being entirely overrun, one of the unconditional redlines for Israel will be if an enemy uses bio/chemical and/or unconventional weapons.

Then Israel may well use drastic measures against Damascus and such alongside confrontations with the Russians or their installations and apparatuses.

This means the United States has to be on military Ready Alert and Standby and the State Department organized to persuasively intercede in order to prevent regional and world catastrophe.

Now, this material may seem extreme or the most serious state of affairs, and I use words like alleged and purportedly but the information can be substantiated. Easily.

As for the title ‘The Second To Last Israeli War,’ even if this current regional unrest deteriorates into war, unfortunately there always seems to be another war.

Note: this article is an abridged version for the sake of public discretion. A much more comprehensive version was sent to appropriate individuals in July 2017 and earlier.

About the Author
Don Davis is a published Middle East analyst and book author. For more than twenty years most of his research material was client confidential and behavioral related. But many of his abridged reports on current or Israeli subjects have been posted as articles or blogs in, The Times of Israel, The Christian Messenger, a newspaper/journal/magazine, and in American news online. Don is also the book author of The Children of Santiago and The Theogonic Resurrections.
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