Mohamed Saad Khiralla

Egypt’s Collapse Demands a National Salvation Government from Exile

Amid a wave of unexplained fires sweeping across Egypt, we are confronted almost hourly by contradictory messages issued by state institutions through their media arms—messages delivered by individuals falsely and maliciously labeled as “journalists” and “media professionals.”

These conflicting statements clearly reveal an intense power struggle within the so-called “Republic of the Military,” a conflict that has reached its peak and is now alarmingly spilling into public view.

At the center of this chaotic landscape, it is impossible to ignore and indeed crucial to recall the series of public threats issued by Abdel Fattah el-Sisi over the past years, starkly exposing the fragility of the state under his rule.

In June 2016, he said:

“If I leave, Egypt will be of no use to us or to anyone else.”

A declaration that links the country’s fate directly to his personal grip on power.

In October 2019, he warned:

“I can deploy the army in six hours to take control of the country.”

An explicit threat to use the military as a tool for internal suppression.

In October 2023, Sisi made his most reckless and alarming statement yet:

“I could bring Egypt down with a packet, thirty million dollars, and a strip of tramadol.”

(Here, “packet” refers to a quantity of cannabis.)

This menacing rhetoric strongly suggests the existence of shadow militias poised to act on his command to sow chaos and destruction.

One of the first names that comes to mind is Sabry Nokhnoh, once dubbed the “President of Thuggery,” a former criminal inmate who later became director of Falcon, the largest private security firm in Egypt.

Also central to this picture is Ibrahim al-Arjani, a militia leader in Sinai and a close associate of Mahmoud el-Sisi, the president’s son and a powerful intelligence officer. Notably, al-Arjani too served time in prison before his rapid ascent to influence.

Egypt on the Edge of Explosion

Egypt now finds itself aboard a speeding train headed straight for a destination ominously labeled: “Total and Comprehensive Collapse.”

We have seen this station before in Iraq, Syria, Libya, Yemen, and Sudan where blood continues to flow and the ruins remain.

Yet recent history offers another perspective:

Several nations have pulled back from such precipices by holding early presidential elections under full and direct international supervision, paving the way for economic revival, development, and political stabilization.

In Egypt’s case, however, even suggesting such a solution feels absurd, in a country where election results are sold in advance and “known payments” guarantee victory in staged productions for both the House of Representatives and the Senate.

A False Opposition and the Masks of Power

Worse still, most of those labeled “domestic opposition” are merely extras in the regime’s theater, performing assigned roles with precision whether knowingly or not driven by bankrupt ideologies: from Islamism to Nasserism, from decrepit leftism to a deep-seated hatred of enlightenment.

In truth, they are tools of anti-modernity, closely aligned with Tehran’s mullahs and their terrorist proxies:

Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza

Hezbollah in Lebanon

The Houthis in Yemen

Kata’ib Hezbollah and Asa’ib Ahl al-Haq in Iraq

In short, they cheer for any force hostile to Israel or the United States, even if that force is a brutal regime or a bloodthirsty militia.

The Honorable Few: Silenced at Home

The truly honorable voices worthy of being heard are fewer than the fingers of one hand. Yet they are powerless in a country where birds cannot sing and butterflies cannot fly without a security permit.

Egypt has long since surpassed the luxury of “change from within.”

Numbers of Horror: A Bankrupt State and a Broken Society

A complete collapse of education and healthcare.

Realistic poverty rates exceeding 70 percent.

Suicide rates rising sharply.

Foreign debt surpassing 162 billion dollars.

Domestic debt nearing 10 trillion Egyptian pounds.

Per capita income among the lowest in the world.

The military controls more than 90 percent of the economy resources that should belong to the people.

Political life is dead, the public sphere buried.

More than 60,000 political prisoners.

Hundreds of news sites and media platforms completely blocked.

Salvation from Exile

There is no longer any path to salvation except through the formation of a national salvation government in exile ready to be activated when the time comes. It should be composed of competent Egyptian figures with genuine integrity and international standing, known for their liberal principles, unwavering belief in peace, and complete rejection of the delusions and destructive ideology of the Muslim Brotherhood.

Such a government must propose a clear and actionable roadmap to rescue the country from collapse, restructure its institutions, and restore the military to its proper place in the barracks alongside initiating a real democratic transition culminating in presidential and parliamentary elections supervised by the United Nations.

I hope to soon witness a bold initiative from such wise individuals, before the train of destruction reaches its final station.

“Salvation does not wait for permission it is forged by will.”

About the Author
Mohamed Saad Khairallah is a political analyst specializing in Middle Eastern affairs and Islamic movements. He is also an opinion writer and a member of the Swedish PEN. His articles have been published in numerous Arab media outlets before he stopped, as he began publishing in the Israeli press. He has published many articles in The Jerusalem Post and Israel Hayom, all of them after the terrorist attacks of October 7. His articles have also been published here in Sweden, where he resides, in newspapers such as Aftonbladet, Sydsvenskan, the liberal magazine Tidningen Nu, and others. He also has a book about Egypt that was published in August 2024. In addition, he has participated in dozens of interviews with various channels across the Middle East to analyze political developments, with a significant share of these interviews being with Israeli channels such as KAN, Makan, and i24.
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