Israel-Somaliland strategically bonded.
In the changing geopolitics of the Horn of Africa, strategic interests are drawing Israel and Somaliland closer, fostering between them a relationship founded on shared security threats and interests. Both territories, by being situated athwart major maritime routes, face the same threats that necessitate cooperation.
Maritime Importance and Common Security Issues: Somaliland’s geostrategic position along the Gulf of Aden, along an important passage for a significant proportion of international maritime trade, namely the Bab al-Mandab Strait, marks it as a potentially useful contributor to regional security. The presence of adversarial actors, such as Yemen’s Houthi rebels that poses considerable risks to these waterways is quite significant. Similarly, Israel’s security is inextricably linked to the security of the Red Sea corridor. Israel-Somaliland security cooperation agreements can successfully counter Houthi aggression, safeguard global shipping lanes, and deter militant activity that undermines regional stability.
Prospects of Somaliland’s International Recognition: Somaliland’s pursuit of international recognition has been an ongoing process since it gained independence in 1991. Official ties with Israel have the potential to serve as a catalyst in this regard.
Israel’s history of international recognition and strategic partnerships may pave the way for Somaliland to be recognized by other nations, particularly African Union members and Western allies. Such recognition would not only legitimize Somaliland’s statehood but also enhance regional stability by bringing in a democratic and cooperative state into the fold of the international community. Taiwan, USA, and UAE influence The diplomatic engagements of Taiwan, the United States, and the United Arab Emirates with Israel and Somaliland are a primary driver in narrowing the relations between the two. Taiwan and Somaliland have established representative offices, a model of engagement without official recognition.
The United States, after taking note of Somaliland’s strategic importance, has engaged in security and development talks, a sign of a matured international diplomacy. The UAE investment in the development of Somaliland’s infrastructure, particularly the enlargement of the Port of Berbera, speaks to its interest in the stability and economic potential of the area. These converging alliances create an auspicious environment for Israel and Somaliland to develop official relations, leveraging the diplomatic channels and economic interests of these influential partners. Countering Regional Militancy: Al-Shabaab and ISIS The Somaliland-Israeli partnership would then have the ability to influence the operational capabilities of terror groups such as Al-Shabaab and ISIS in Somalia, its neighbour. The comparative stability of Somaliland, and its geographical advantage, forms a good background for the sharing of intelligence as well as cooperation in countering terrorism. Merging Israel’s security and anti-insurgency experience with Somaliland’s geographical advantage has the potential of interdicting the logistical supply chains of the terror groups hence enhancing security across the Horn of Africa.
The strategic interests are aligning to promote an infant alliance between Somaliland and Israel. Their common sea-faring issues, quest for global recognition, and the role of their common allies such as Taiwan, the USA, and the UAE are all central to this emerging relationship. The alliance not only holds out the prospect of enhancing regional stability by challenging militant attacks but also represents a change towards enhanced diplomatic recognition and collaboration in the Horn of Africa.
NB: Israel was one of the 35 countries that recognized Somaliland as an independent state on 26-June-1960; four days before it united with Somalia.