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Aug 24, 2026, 12:42 AM

Iran Is Unlikely to Fight the Economic Clock War

Tehran's Third Path Six months into the war, the question is no longer whether Iran can survive an economic war of attrition. The material evidence already answers that: it cannot, not indefinitely, and not without extracting a severity of hardship...

Benjamin Adam Saidel

Aug 23, 2026, 6:15 AM

Tom Barrack’s Love Affair with the “Authoritarian” Nation of Türkiye

Cartoon created by the author using AI.

For Tom Barrack—the United States Ambassador to Türkiye, United States Special Envoy for Syria, and United States Special Envoy for Iraq—Türkiye is a model nation-state. On 27 July, he met with Türkiye’s Minister of Culture and Tourism, Mehmet Nuri...

Aug 22, 2026, 11:37 AM

Turkey’s Next War Could Undo 1974

Achilles’ Shield, Cyprus’s rearmament, Israel’s naval doctrine and the widening F-35 gap now form one deterrent architecture. If deterrence fails, Poseidon’s Wrath will place Turkey’s occupation of northern Cyprus on the battlefield. On 7 July, at the Haifa naval base,...

Aug 22, 2026, 11:21 AM

Trump and MBS at The Scorpion’s Gate

Twenty years before the current Iran War, a former White House counterterrorism chief wrote a thriller that gave America’s Persian Gulf problem a name. Richard Clarke’s The Scorpion’s Gate (2005) is not, on its own terms, a work of...

Aug 21, 2026, 5:42 PM

Why Iran’s Threat Keeps Coming Back

Detail of the Israeli national flag highlighting the Star of David, emphasizing its cultural significance as from the Pexels website (https://www.pexels.com/photo/close-up-of-the-flag-of-israel-4033852/).

What if the Middle East’s recurring confrontation with Iran is not simply a story about a hostile regime, missiles, nuclear facilities or proxy forces, but about a political system capable of repeatedly rebuilding its power—and what would it take...

Ibrahim Mukherjee

Aug 21, 2026, 5:25 AM

Capability does not equal Trust.

Capability ≠ Trust Project Glasswing, artificial intelligence, human expertise — and why the most capable system is not necessarily the system we should trust Artificial intelligence is becoming extraordinarily capable. That sentence is increasingly difficult to dispute. Models can write software. Read medical literature. Analyse...

Aug 20, 2026, 1:27 PM

Kushner’s Gaza Opening Is a Chance for Peace

AI generated image of Donald Trump looking back at the flag of Iran amidst rubble in Tehran. Trump is moving beyond degrading Iran's nuclear ambitions or targeting the IRGC. The emerging objective is to weaken the regime's capacity to govern.

Could Jared Kushner's direct talks with Hamas create the opening Israel and the Palestinians need to escape another cycle of war? The answer depends on whether Hamas is prepared to give up its weapons, whether Israel receives credible security...

Aug 20, 2026, 9:24 AM

Why I’m Changing My Mind About Trump’s Naval Blockade of Iran

In June I wrote that the strategy behind the American naval blockade was to provoke Iran's implosion, and I doubted the instrument could deliver it. Six days ago I showed that no blockade in the past century has ever...

Aug 19, 2026, 7:51 AM

Trump’s Gaza Plan — The Only Game in Town

Hillary Clinton is probably not the person most people expected to make one of the strongest arguments for Donald Trump’s Gaza policy. Speaking with The New Yorker’s David Remnick at New York’s 92NY in June, the former secretary of state...

Aug 18, 2026, 2:08 PM

In an Alternate Universe, Iran Hangs Mamdani as a Zionist

On February 28, the mayor of New York stood in front of a camera and called his own government’s war “a catastrophic escalation in an illegal war of aggression.” Bombing cities. Killing civilians. Opening a new theater of war....

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