One could say: He would split the conservative ticket guaranteeing a 2024 Democratic win. And: Impeaching Trump would block his path. But this news spells, IMHO, not trouble for 2024 but for the 2022 elections.
The next ballot is not for the presidency but the 2022 vote for House and Senate seats. There were solid reasons for Democrats not to worry too much about keeping their majority in both Chambers (see above clip) but that’s 3-weeks-old news. Trump is — again — redrawing the map!
After two years, new Trumpian non-GOP conservative lawmakers would vote with the GOP to block and obstruct Biden, as happened to Obama.
The Democrats should try to get as much done as possible in the two years to come, without waiting for bi-partisan ‘unity’ compromises they don’t really need. They should get so much good done for the American People that the ‘forgotten men and women’ (meaning: working-class) would recognize who really is on their side and start voting Democrats.
Trump will soon disperse his known stream of lies through his own TV network, threatening the Democratic majority in the House and Senate.
Save the USA. Ramp up Democratic short-term direct accomplishments!