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Aug 9, 2026, 5:34 PM

The Coming Sunni Encirclement

While Trump vacillates between total war and détente with Iran, Turkey has moved quickly to fill the regional vacuum. Last week, Hakan Fidan announced the Mecca Agreement, a defensive pact between Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. The pact was...

Sergio Restelli

Aug 9, 2026, 6:52 AM

Pakistan Wants to Turn the Mecca Pact Into an Islamic anti-Israel NATO

Barely hours after Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye signed their new mutual defence agreement in Mecca, Pakistan’s Defence Minister Khawaja Asif gave the emerging alliance something its official text had carefully avoided: an enemy. Israel (and India). Asif called for Muslim...

Aug 8, 2026, 5:49 PM

Mecca Pact Implications for Israel and Washington

Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Pakistan, and the Rise of Strategic Autonomy The signing of the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan marks an important development in the changing security order of the Middle...

Aug 8, 2026, 5:35 PM

Saudi Arabia’s Defense Paradox: High Spending, Persistent Vulnerabilities

Saudi Arabia ranks among the world’s largest defense spenders and operates advanced aircraft, missiles, and air-defense systems. Yet high expenditure has not produced complete protection. The kingdom’s vulnerability reflects a mismatch between the threats it faces, and the institutions,...

Jose Lev Alvarez Gomez

Aug 8, 2026, 5:25 PM

Riyadh Chose the Brotherhood Security Camp

On August 7, 2026, Saudi Arabia ended years of geostrategic ambiguity. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) joined Turkey’s neo-Ottoman despot, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif in Mecca to sign a mutual-defense agreement that...

Aug 7, 2026, 8:02 PM

The Turkey–Saudi Arabia–Pakistan Mutual Defense Pact

The Unraveling of US Regional Primacy The announcement that Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan have signed a mutual defense pact marks a watershed moment in Middle Eastern security politics. For the first time, the three largest Muslim-majority powers—each with distinct...

Aug 5, 2026, 6:31 AM

The Gulf Must Choose: Iran’s Missiles Today or Iran’s Nuclear Bomb Tomorrow

The attack was ready. Trump said so himself. Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One on August 2, he explained his decision to call off a planned strike on Iran. He claimed the request for restraint came from Saudi...

Jul 30, 2026, 1:09 AM

Saudi Arabia and Somaliland: Securing the Red Sea Through Pragmatic Partnership

The strategic relationship between Saudi Arabia and Somaliland lies at the intersection of maritime commerce, regional security, and Gulf geopolitics. Riyadh formally recognizes Somalia’s Federal Government and conducts official diplomacy through Mogadishu. Yet effective protection of the Red Sea...

Yochanan Schimmelpfennig

Jul 24, 2026, 6:00 PM

Israel Was Added After the Deal

Israel Was Added After the Deal The most revealing fact about the US–Saudi nuclear agreement is not only what it may permit, but when Israel entered the arrangement. On July 22, the United States Department of Energy announced a decades-long...

Jose Lev Alvarez Gomez

Jul 15, 2026, 6:10 AM

This Is How America Wins in Iran and Weakens China

In the last two weeks, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has repeatedly claimed responsibility for missile strikes on several oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, branding the vessels as “offending supertankers that ignored warnings, turned off their...

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